Macroeconomics
About us
Researchers in the Macroeconomics Research Cluster are engaged in work across a broad range of themes covering both closed and open economy topics and management of economic policy at shorter and longer-term horizons. More specifically, recent work has addressed a wide variety of issues pertaining to:
- Growth
- Development and international tax competition
- Exchange rate fluctuations and economic policy
- The optimal design of monetary and fiscal policy, trade policy, growth and economic inequality
- Financial market incompleteness
- Investment frictions in the macroeconomy
- The role of news in business cycle analysis
- Labour market distortions and the optimal conduct of economic policy
- The credibility of economic policymakers and the issues involved in policy formation when the “true” model of the economy is unknown
- The economics of independence/devolution
The researchers in the Macroeconomics Research Cluster are regular visitors to central banks and other policymaking institutions around the world. There are also close ties between the cluster and policymakers here in the UK.
Related links
Leadership and members
Lead: Professor Richard Dennis
Alternate: Professor Dimitris Korobilis
Members
Professor Luis Angeles
Dr Konstantinos Angelopoulos
Dr Juhee Bae
Mr Miguel Colburn Herculano
Ms Mridula Duggal
Dr Zafer Kanik
Mr Oleg Kirsanov
Professor Tatiana Kirsanova
Dr Lovleen Kushwah
Professor Campbell Leith
Professor James Malley
Dr Ioana Moldovan
Professor Charles Nolan
Dr Anthoulla Phella
Dr Sisir Ramanan
Dr Yannis Tsafos
Professor John Tsoukalas
Dr Ning Zhang
Macroeconomics Seminar Series 2023-2024
The Macroeconomics Seminar Series welcomes distinguished researchers from other institutions to present their latest work.
On our Research Seminar webpage, you will find abstracts and biographies for upcoming seminars.
For further information and to register for seminars, don't hesitate to contact the Research Team.
2023-2024
18 September 2023
Dr Livio Stracca, European Central Bank
5 October 2023
Dr Agnes Kovacs, King College London
19 October 2023
26 October 2023
Dr Giacomo Pozetto, CREI
9 November 2023
Dr Co-Pierre Georg, EDHEC Business School
30 November 2023
Dr Karin Kinnerud, BI Norwegian Business School
22 February 2024
Dr Joseba Martinez, London Business School
21 March 2024
Professor Matthias Doepke, London School of Economics
18 April 2024
Professor Paul Klein, Stockholm University
25 April 2024
Professor Nil Jaimovich, University of California
2 May 2024
Dr Juan Ignacio Vizcaino, University of Nothingham
23 May 2023
Dr Calin Arcalean, ESADE Barcelona
We foster a positive and productive environment for seminars through our Code of conduct.
Econometrics Seminar Series 2023 - 2024
The Econometrics Seminar Series allows distinguished researchers from other institutions to present their latest work.
Abstracts and biographies for upcoming seminars can be found on our Research Seminars' webpage.
Please note that our seminars are online through Zoom and in person at the University of Glasgow. Seminars are open to all. For further information and to register for individual seminars, please contact the Research team.
Econometrics Seminar Series 2023 - 2024.
Thursday, 31 August 2023. 16:00
Professor Herman van Dijk, Erasmus University
Friday, 6 October 2023. 15:00
Professor Valentina Corradi, University of Surrey
Friday, 20 October 2023. 15:00
Professor Carlos Velasco, University Carlos III
Friday 27 October 2023. 15:00
Professor Tatiana Komarova, University of Manchester
Friday 3 November 2023. 15:00
Dr Ben Deaner, University College London
Friday, 17 November 2023. 15:00
Professor Laura Coroneo, University of York
Friday, 24 November 2023, 11:30 (Online)
Dr Jiaying Gu, University of Toronto
Friday, 1 December 2023. 16:00 (Online)
Dr Domenico Giannone, University of Washington
Friday, 8 December 2023. 16:00 (Online)
Dr Tatevik Sekhposyan, Texas A&M University
Friday, 16 February 2024. 16:00 (Online)
Professor Alexey Onatsky, University of Cambridge
Friday, 23 February 2024. 15:00
Dr Jennifer Castle, University of Oxford
Friday, 15 March 2024. 15:00
Dr Andre Souza, ESADE
Friday, 22 March 2024. 15:00
Professor Koen Jochmans, Toulouse School of Economics
We foster a positive and productive environment for seminars through our Code of conduct.
Impact and Engagement
Learn more about our projects and policy work
Addressing inequalities
Dr Konstantinos Angelopoulos is the Principal Investigator on a new £297,000 grant which is funded by ESRC as part of UK Research and Innovation’s rapid response to COVID-19. This project will model changes in inequalities in income, wealth and health in the years following COVID-19, and use the models developed to assess possible mitigation policies. Understanding such medium-run changes is important because the health and economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and how these vary across the population, are expected to last for many years. Local project partners include Glasgow City Archives and Glasgow Life.
In a separate project, Dr Konstantinos Angelopoulos has been working with Turkana pastoralist communities to understand inequality by studying the effects of shocks and mitigating activities such as herding, education, family structure, and policy interventions. This work has been supported by the Scottish Funding Council, as part of the Global Challenges Research Fund. It includes colleagues from the MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, the School of Education, Lancaster and Erasmus Universities, and the NGO Friends of Lake Turkana, Kenya. The researchers recently published a briefing note and a booklet for local schools (see ‘Related links’).
Professor Tatiana Kirsanova and PhD students are currently studying inequality as a driver of optimal monetary and fiscal policy.
Related links
- Dr Konstantinos Angelopoulos
- Economic and Social Research Council
- Scottish Funding Council
- UK Research and Innovation
- Briefing note: Medium-run wealth inequality following COVID-19 (2021)
- Briefing note: Post-pandemic mortality dynamics: historical city-level evidence (2020)
- Briefing note: Turkana pastoralists at risk: Why education matters (2020)
- Voices of the Turkana People (booklet)
- Professor Tatiana Kirsanova
Behavioural macroeconomics
In partial collaboration with current and former PhD students, Professor Richard Dennis is conducting research in the field of behavioural macroeconomics looking at behaviours such as quasi-hyperbolic discounting, diagnostic expectations, and experienced-based-expectations. These behaviours can alter importantly how decision-makers react to new information, leading to greater economic volatility and increased persistence. This can prolong the effects of shocks such as Brexit and COVID-19.
Related links
Macroeconomic policy after COVID-19
Macroprudential policies were rapidly deployed when the COVID-19 pandemic hit, with capital, liquidity and other regulations weakened or temporarily abandoned across many countries. In particular, capital regulations applying to banks were adjusted to help underpin credit to the real economy. However, little is known about the optimal formulations of such rapid-response policies. It is imperative ahead of any future pandemic or financial turmoil that the relative effectiveness of monetary, fiscal and macroprudential policies are evaluated. These questions are of particular interest to Professor Charles Nolan and his co-authors, including current and former PhD students.
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to mounting government debt levels. Persistently low inflation has reduced the space for monetary policy to operate. Professor Tatiana Kirsanova, Professor Campbell Leith and Dr Ioana Moldovan are exploring optimal policymaking in this environment, considering that policymakers may find it difficult to commit to previously chosen actions. The policymaking process may be further complicated by political frictions generated by the electoral cycle and associated political conflict.
Our policy work
Professor Campbell Leith and Professor Charles Nolan are experts on Scottish fiscal policy and previously served as members of the Scottish Fiscal Commission (SFC). As commissioners, they were responsible for scrutinising the fiscal forecasts of the Scottish Government and for preparing the SFC for the transition to a statutory body when it took over the forecasting from the Scottish Government.
Professor Ronald MacDonald was awarded an OBE in 2015 for services to Economic Policy. He has served as an advisor and consultant to a number of governments, central banks and public bodies. His current research topics include: the macroeconomic implications of the COVID-19 pandemic; the hydrogen economy and its implications for productivity and growth; and the macroeconomic implications of Scottish independence.
Media requests: If you would like to speak to one of our researchers, please contact our Communications Officer, Claire Smith.
Publications
2023
Zhang, N. (2023) Asset home bias in debtor and creditor countries Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104760)
Chen, X., Leith, C., Ricci, M. (2023) Evaluating fiscal policy reforms using the fiscal frontier Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 155, (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104733)
Dennis, R., Ilbas, P. (2023) Monetary and macroprudential policy interactions in a model of the Euro area Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104706)
Schroeder, M., Lazarakis, S., Mancy, R., Angelopoulos, K. (2023) An extended period of elevated influenza mortality risk follows the main waves of influenza pandemics Social Science and Medicine, 328, (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.115975)
Görtz, C., Sakellaris, P., Tsoukalas, J. D. (2023) Firms’ financing dynamics around lumpy capacity adjustments European Economic Review, (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104481)
Korobilis, D., Montoya-Blandón, S. (2023) Discussion of “multivariate dynamic modeling for Bayesian forecasting of business revenue” Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 39, pp. 315-317. (doi: 10.1002/asmb.2753)
Angelopoulos, K., Kammas, P. (2023) On the persistence of public sector efficiency and the role of historical institutional quality Edward Elgar Publishing
Hashimzade, N., Kirsanov, O., Kirsanova, T. (2023) Distributional effects of endogenous discounting Mathematical Social Sciences, 122, pp. 1-6. (doi: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2023.01.003)
Angelopoulos, K., Stewart, G., Mancy, R. (2023) Local infectious disease experience influences vaccine refusal rates: a natural experiment Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 290, (doi: 10.1098/rspb.2022.1986)
Malley, J., Philippopoulos, A. (2023) The macroeconomic effects of funding U.S. infrastructure European Economic Review, 152, (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104334)
Görtz, C., Li, W., Tsoukalas, J., Zanetti, F. (2023) Vintage article: The effect of monetary policy shocks in the United Kingdom: an external instruments approach Macroeconomic Dynamics, (doi: 10.1017/S1365100522000657)
2022
Koop, G., Korobilis, D. (2022) Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions International Economic Review, (doi: 10.1111/iere.12623)
Görtz, C., Tsoukalas, J. D., Zanetti, F. (2022) News shocks under financial frictions American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 14, pp. 210-243. (doi: 10.1257/mac.20170066)
Korobilis, D. (2022) A new algorithm for structural restrictions in Bayesian vector autoregressions European Economic Review, 148, (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104241)
Baumeister, C., Korobilis, D., Lee, T. (2022) Energy markets and global economic conditions Review of Economics and Statistics, 104, pp. 828-844. (doi: 10.1162/rest_a_00977)
Korobilis, D., Shimizu, K. (2022) Bayesian approaches to shrinkage and sparse estimation Foundations and Trends in Econometrics, 11, pp. 230-354. (doi: 10.1561/0800000041)
Chen, X., Leeper, E. M., Leith, C. (2022) Strategic interactions in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies Quantitative Economics, 13, pp. 593-628. (doi: 10.3982/QE1678)
Dennis, R. (2022) Computing time-consistent equilibria: a perturbation approach Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 137, (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104349)
Angeles, L. (2022) Money Matters. How money and banks evolved, and why we have financial crises Palgrave Macmillan
Angelopoulos, K., Lazarakis, S., Malley, J. (2022) Cyclical labour income risk in Great Britain Journal of Applied Econometrics, 37, pp. 116-130. (doi: 10.1002/jae.2860)
Gambetti, L., Görtz, C., Korobilis, D., Tsoukalas, J. D., Zanetti, F. (2022) The effect of news shocks and monetary policy Emerald
Angelopoulos, K., Mancy, R., Agol, D., Lazarakis, S., Papyrakis, E. (2022) Turkana Pastoralists at Risk: Impact Evaluation Report
2021
Tsoukalas, J. (2021) Scotland’s Productivity Challenge: Exploring the issues (doi: 10.36399/gla.pubs.260002)
Zhang, N. (2021) Asset home bias in debtor and creditor countries
Schroeder, M., Lazarakis, S., Mancy, R., Angelopoulos, K. (2021) How Do Pandemics End? Two Decades of Recurrent Outbreak Risk Following the Main Waves
Angelopoulos, K., Lazarakis, S., Mancy, R., Schroeder, M. (2021) Pandemic-Induced Wealth and Health Inequality and Risk Exposure
Flamini, F., Leith, C. (2021) Political conflict and bargaining in a new Keynesian model of fiscal stabilization Macroeconomic Dynamics, 25, pp. 2128-2179. (doi: 10.1017/S1365100519000993)
Angelopoulos, A., Angelopoulos, K., Lazarakis, S., Philippopoulos, A. (2021) The distributional consequences of rent seeking Economic Inquiry, 59, pp. 1616-1640. (doi: 10.1111/ecin.13009)
Zhang, N. (2021) Two-way capital flows: A risk-sharing approach
Kirsanova, T., Nolan, C., Shafiei Deh Abad, M. (2021) Deep recessions Economic Modelling, 96, pp. 310-323. (doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.03.026)
Angelopoulos, K., Lazarakis, S., Mancy, R., Schroeder, M. (2021) Briefing Note: Medium-run wealth inequality following COVID-19
Leeper, E. M., Leith, C., Liu, D. (2021) Optimal time-consistent monetary, fiscal and debt maturity policy Journal of Monetary Economics, 117, pp. 600-617. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.03.015)
Korobilis, D. (2021) High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 39, pp. 493-504. (doi: 10.1080/07350015.2019.1677472)
2018
Waki, Y., Dennis, R., Fujiwara, I. (2018) The optimal degree of monetary discretion in a new Keynesian model with private information Theoretical Economics, 13, pp. 1319-1367. (doi: 10.3982/TE2369)
Tsoukalas, J., Görtz, C. (2018) Sectoral TFP news shocks Economics Letters, 168, pp. 31-36. (doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.03.001)
Leith, C., Moldovan, I., Wren-Lewis, S. (2018) Debt stabilization in a Non-Ricardian economy Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23, pp. 2509-2543. (doi: 10.1017/S1365100517000797)
Himmels, C., Kirsanova, T. (2018) Discretionary policy in a small open economy: exchange rate regimes and multiple equilibria Journal of Macroeconomics, 56, pp. 53-64. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.01.001)
Kirsanova, T., Machado, C., Ribeiro, A. P. (2018) Should the ECB coordinate EMU fiscal policies? International Journal of Central Banking, 14, pp. 237-280.
Bi, H., Leeper, E. M., Leith, C. (2018) Sovereign default and monetary policy tradeoffs International Journal of Central Banking, 14, pp. 289-324.
Dennis, R., Kirsanova, T. (2018) Equilibrium coordination with discretionary policy making Economic Journal, 128, pp. 710-727. (doi: 10.1111/ecoj.12407)
Byrne, J. P., Korobilis, D., Ribeiro, P. J. (2018) On the sources of uncertainty in exchange rate predictability International Economic Review, 59, pp. 329-357. (doi: 10.1111/iere.12271)
2017
Byrne, J. P., Cao, S., Korobilis, D. (2017) Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields in unstable environments Journal of Empirical Finance, 44, pp. 209-225. (doi: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.09.004)
Chen, X., Kirsanova, T., Leith, C. (2017) How optimal is US monetary policy? Journal of Monetary Economics, 92, pp. 96-111. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2017.09.009)
Chen, X., Kirsanova, T., Leith, C. (2017) An empirical assessment of optimal monetary policy in the Euro area European Economic Review, 100, pp. 95-115. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.07.012)
Zhang, N. (2017) Country portfolios with habit persistence
Görtz, C., Tsoukalas, J. (2017) News and financial intermediation in aggregate fluctuations Review of Economics and Statistics, 99, pp. 514-530. (doi: 10.1162/REST_a_00612)
Bai, Y., Kirsanova, T., Leith, C. (2017) Nominal targeting in an economy with government debt European Economic Review, 94, pp. 103-125. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.02.011)
Tsoukalas, J., Tsoukas, S., Guariglia, A. (2017) To what extent are savings-cash flow sensitivities informative to test for capital market imperfections? Review of Finance, 21, pp. 1251-1285. (doi: 10.1093/rof/rfw043)
Angeles, L. (2017) The great divergence and the economics of printing Economic History Review, 70, pp. 30-51. (doi: 10.1111/ehr.12337)
Angelopoulos, K., Economides, G., Philippopoulos, A. (2017) Environmental public good provision under robust decision making Oxford Economic Papers, 69, pp. 118-142. (doi: 10.1093/oep/gpw041)
Korobilis, D. (2017) Quantile regression forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty International Journal of Forecasting, 33, pp. 11-20. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.07.005)
Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J., Philippopoulos, A. (2017) Human capital accumulation and transition to skilled employment Journal of Human Capital, 11, pp. 72-105. (doi: 10.1086/690445)
Angeles, L., Elizalde, A. (2017) Pre-colonial institutions and socioeconomic development: The case of Latin America Journal of Development Economics, 124, pp. 22-40. (doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.08.006)
2013
Angelopoulos, K., Jiang, W., Malley, J.R. (2013) Tax reforms under market distortions in product and labour markets European Economic Review, 61, pp. 28-42. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.03.003)
Dennis, R. (2013) Review of: Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach, 2nd edn, by Michael Wickens (Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2011) Economic Record, 89, pp. 275-276. (doi: 10.1111/1475-4932.12049)
Korobilis, D. (2013) Assessing the transmission of monetary policy using time-varying parameter dynamic factor models Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 75, pp. 157-179. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2011.00687.x)
Himmels, C., Kirsanova, T. (2013) Escaping expectation traps: how much commitment is required? Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37, pp. 649-665. (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.10.009)
Angeles, L. (2013) On the causes of the African slave trade Kyklos, 66, pp. 1-26. (doi: 10.1111/kykl.12008)
Korobilis, D. (2013) Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors Economics Letters, 18, pp. 148-150. (doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.10.003)
Khan, H., Tsoukalas, J. (2013) Effects of productivity shocks on hours worked: UK evidence B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 13, (doi: 10.1515/bejm-2012-0056)
Bauwens, L., Korobilis, D. (2013) Bayesian methods Edward Elgar Publishing
Kirsanova, T., le Roux, S. (2013) Commitment vs. discretion in the UK: An empirical investigation of the monetary and fiscal policy regime International Journal of Central Banking, 9, pp. 99-151.
Angelopoulos, K., Economides, G., Philippopoulos, A. (2013) First-and second-best allocations under economic and environmental uncertainty International Tax and Public Finance, 20, pp. 360-380. (doi: 10.1007/s10797-012-9234-z)
Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2013) Fiscal sustainability in a new Keynesian model Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 45, pp. 1477-1516. (doi: 10.1111/jmcb.12060)
Korobilis, D. (2013) Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors International Journal of Forecasting, 29, (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.05.006)
Koop, G., Korobilis, D. (2013) Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs Journal of Econometrics, 177, pp. 185-198. (doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.007)
Görtz, C., Tsoukalas, J. (2013) Learning, capital-embodied technology and aggregate fluctuations Review of Economic Dynamics, 16, pp. 708-723. (doi: 10.1016/j.red.2012.04.003)
Bi, H., Leeper, E.M., Leith, C. (2013) Uncertain fiscal consolidations Economic Journal, 123, pp. F31-F63. (doi: 10.1111/ecoj.12011)
2012
Milne, R. G., Roy, G., Angeles, L. (2012) Competition, quality and contract compliance: evidence from compulsory competitive tendering in local government in Great Britain, 1987-2000 Fiscal Studies, 33, pp. 513-546. (doi: 10.1111/j.1475-5890.2012.00171.x)
Guariglia, A., Tsoukalas, J., Tsoukas, S. (2012) Investment, irreversibility, and financing constraints: Evidence from a panel of transition economies Economics Letters, 117, pp. 582-584. (doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.07.031)
Blake, A.P., Kirsanova, T. (2012) Discretionary policy and multiple equilibria in LQ RE models Review of Economic Studies, 79, pp. 1309-1339. (doi: 10.1093/restud/rds002)
Koop, G., Korobilis, D. (2012) Forecasting inflation using dynamic model averaging International Economic Review, 53, pp. 867-886. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-2354.2012.00704.x)
Leith, C., Moldovan, I., Rossi, R. (2012) Optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with habits in consumption Review of Economic Dynamics, 15, pp. 416-435. (doi: 10.1016/j.red.2012.03.001)
Korobilis, D., Gilmartin, M. (2012) On regional unemployment: an empirical examination of the determinants of geographical differentials in the UK Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 59, pp. 179-195. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9485.2011.00575.x)
Kirsanova, T., Wren-Lewis, S. (2012) Optimal fiscal feedback on debt in an economy with nominal rigidities Economic Journal, 122, pp. 238-264. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2011.02458.x)
Bi, H., Leeper, E.M., Leith, C.B. (2012) Uncertain fiscal consolidations (doi: 10.3386/w17844)
Angelopoulos, K., Economides, G., Kammas, P. (2012) Does cabinet ideology matter for the structure of tax policies? European Journal of Political Economy, 28, pp. 620-635. (doi: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2012.06.002)
Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2012) Fiscal sustainability in a new Keynesian model - additional appendix
Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J., Philippopoulos, A. (2012) Tax structure, growth, and welfare in the UK Oxford Economic Papers, 64, pp. 237-258. (doi: 10.1093/oep/gpr035)
Khan, H., Tsoukalas, J. (2012) The quantitative importance of news shocks in estimated DSGE models Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 44, pp. 1535-1561. (doi: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00543.x)
2011
Koop, G., Korobilis, D. (2011) UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: which models forecast best and when do they do so? Economic Modelling, 28, pp. 2307-2318. (doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.04.008)
Tsoukalas, J. (2011) Input and output inventories in the UK Economica, 78, pp. 460-479. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2009.00829.x)
Tsoukalas, J.D. (2011) Time to build capital: revisiting investment-cash-flow sensitivities Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 35, pp. 1000-1016. (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2010.12.009)
Kirsanova, T., Le Roux, S.D. (2011) Degree of Policy Precommitment in the UK: An Empirical Investigation of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions SSRN eLibrary, (doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1865456)
Angeles, L. (2011) Institutions, property rights, and economic development in historical perspective Kyklos, 64, pp. 157-177. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-6435.2011.00500.x)
Himmels, C., Kirsanova, T. (2011) Expectations Traps and Monetary Policy with Limited Commitment SSRN eLibrary, (doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1772842)
Arghyrou, M.G., Tsoukalas, J.D. (2011) The Greek debt crisis: likely causes, mechanics and outcomes World Economy, 34, pp. 173-191. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9701.2011.01328.x)
Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2011) Discretionary policy in a monetary union with sovereign debt European Economic Review, 55, pp. 93-117. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2010.11.007)
Khan, H., Tsoukalas, J.D. (2011) Investment shocks and the comovement problem Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 35, pp. 115-130. (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2010.09.004)
Angeles, L. (2011) A closer look at the Easterlin Paradox Journal of Socio-Economics, 40, pp. 67-73. (doi: 10.1016/j.socec.2010.06.017)
Angelopoulos, K., Economides, G., Vassilatos, V. (2011) Do institutions matter for economic fluctuations? Weak property rights in a business cycle model for Mexico Review of Economic Dynamics, 14, pp. 511-531. (doi: 10.1016/j.red.2010.04.002)
Huff, G., Angeles, L. (2011) Globalization, industrialization and urbanization in pre-World War II Southeast Asia Explorations in Economic History, 48, pp. 20-36. (doi: 10.1016/j.eeh.2010.08.001)
Blake, A., Kirsanova, T. (2011) Inflation conservatism and monetary-fiscal policy interactions International Journal of Central Banking, 7, pp. 41-83.
Angelopoulos, K., Malley, J., Philippopoulos, A. (2011) The welfare implications of resource allocation policies under uncertainty: The case of public education spending Journal of Macroeconomics, 33, pp. 176-192. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2010.11.007)
Korobilis, D. (2011) VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection Journal of Applied Econometrics, 28, pp. 204-230. (doi: 10.1002/jae.1271)
2010
Dennis, R. (2010) How robustness can lower the cost of discretion Journal of Monetary Economics, 57, pp. 653-667. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.06.003)
Dennis, R., Kirsanova, T. (2010) Expectations Traps and Coordination Failures: Selecting Among Multiple Discretionary Equilibria SSRN eLibrary, (doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1664924)
Angeles, L. (2010) Children and life satisfaction Journal of Happiness Studies, 11, pp. 523-538. (doi: 10.1007/s10902-009-9168-z)
Malley, J., Woitek, U. (2010) Technology shocks and aggregate fluctuations in an estimated hybrid RBC model Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, pp. 1214-1232. (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2010.01.017)
Blake, A.P., Kirsanova, T., Yates, A. (2010) The Gains from Delegation Revisited: Price-Level Targeting, Speed-Limit and Interest Rate Smoothing Policies SSRN eLibrary, (doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1595714)
Dennis, R. (2010) When is discretion superior to timeless perspective policymaking? Journal of Monetary Economics, 57, pp. 266-277. (doi: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.02.006)
Arestis, P., Chortareas, G., Tsoukalas, J.D. (2010) Money and information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis framework Economic Journal, 120, pp. F101-F128. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02339.x)
Angeles, L. (2010) An alternative test of Kuznets’ hypothesis Journal of Economic Inequality, (doi: 10.1007/s10888-009-9117-4)
Koop, G., Korobilis, D. (2010) Bayesian multivariate time series methods for empirical macroeconomics Foundations and Trends in Econometrics, 3, pp. 267-358. (doi: 10.1561/0800000013)
Angeles, L. (2010) Demographic transitions: analyzing the effects of mortality on fertility Journal of Population Economics, 23, pp. 99-120. (doi: 10.1007/s00148-009-0255-6)
Fragetta, M., Kirsanova, T. (2010) Strategic monetary and fiscal policy interactions: an empirical investigation European Economic Review, 54, pp. 855-879. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2010.02.003)
2006
Dennis, R., Soderstrom, U. (2006) How important is precommitment for monetary policy? Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 38, pp. 847-872. (doi: 10.1353/mcb.2006.0054)
Tsoukalas, J.D. (2006) Financing constraints and firm inventory investment: a reexamination Economics Letters, 90, pp. 266-271. (doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2005.08.012)
Dennis, R. (2006) The policy preferences of the US Federal Reserve Journal of Applied Econometrics Newsletter, 21, pp. 55-77. (doi: 10.1002/jae.808)
Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2006) Compatibility between monetary and fiscal policy under EMU European Economic Review, 50, pp. 1529-1556. (doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2005.04.003)
Malley, J., Moutos, T. (2006) Do excessive wage increases raise imports? Theory and evidence Japan and the World Economy, 18, pp. 194-220. (doi: 10.1016/j.japwor.2004.08.001)
Andrés, J., Doménech, R., Leith, C. (2006) Fiscal policy, macroeconomic stability and finite horizons Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 53, pp. 72-89. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9485.2005.00371.x)
Malley, J., Molana, H. (2006) Further evidence from aggregate data on the life-cycle-permanent-income model Empirical Economics, 31, pp. 1025-1041. (doi: 10.1007/s00181-006-0066-5)
Tsoukalas, J., Elder, R. (2006) Investing in inventories Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 2006,
Kirsanova, T., Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2006) Optimal debt policy European Commission Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs
Kirsanova, T., Leith, C., Wren-Lewis, S. (2006) Should central banks target consumer prices or the exchange rate? Economic Journal, 116, pp. F208-F231. (doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2006.01097.x)