Professor Graeme Roy

Professor in Economics, Interim Head of School, Adam Smith Business School (Economics)
Dean of External Engagement and Deputy Head of College and Assistant VP (Social Sciences College Senior Management)

email: Graeme.Roy@glasgow.ac.uk
pronouns: He/him/his

Biography

Graeme is Professor of Economics, Deputy Head of the College of Social Sciences and Assistant Vice Principal at the University of Glasgow. Graeme has responsibility for supporting academics across the College in communications, research, impact, and stakeholder engagement.

Graeme is also Chair of the Scottish Fiscal Commission, Scotland’s official independent economic and fiscal forecaster.

Prior to joining Glasgow in March 2021, he was Director of the Fraser of Allander Institute at the University of Strathclyde. Graeme is also a former Senior Civil Servant in the Scottish Government, where he was Head of the First Minister’s Policy Unit.

Graeme’s research focus is on economic policy and devolution. He is a regular commentator on the Scottish economy, including a column for The Herald newspaper.

Graeme is a past independent adviser to the Scottish Parliament’s Economy, Jobs and Fair Work Committee. He is also a former member of the UK Government’s Scottish Business Taskforce and the Scottish Government’s National Economic Transformation Council. Between 2019 and 2023, he chaired an independent evaluation committee for Public Health Scotland to monitor the Economic Impact of Minimum Unit Pricing.

Graeme is a Lead Editor for the Economics Observatory and the Scottish lead for the International Public Policy Observatory. In 2023, he led the University’s Adam Smith Tercentenary commemorations.

Outside of university, Graeme is a board member of Stirling Community Enterprise a social enterprise based in the Raploch area that supports community-based training and employment.

In 2023, Graeme was elected a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh (RSE). In 2024, he was awarded the Adam Smith Prize by the RSE for his “substantial contribution to public policy and public life in Scotland”.

Research interests

Graeme is a member of the School's Applied Economics Research Cluster.

Areas of expertise:

Public policy
Applied economics
Scottish economy
Economic policy

Publications

List by: Type | Date

Jump to: 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2012 | 2008 | 2006 | 2005 | 2003 | 2002

Number of items: 71.

2025

Mitchell, James, McIntrye, Stuart and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2025) Two cheers for Holyrood: devolution and dimensions of fiscal accountability. British Politics, (doi: 10.1057/s41293-025-00276-7) (Early Online Publication)

Figus, Gioele, McGregor, Peter, McIntyre, Stuart and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2025) Trading borders: the importance of interregional integration and size of economies for the impact of secession. Regional Studies, (Accepted for Publication)

2024

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Muscatelli, Anton and Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 (2024) The 2024 Budget and regional productivity. [Website]

Goudie, Andrew, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 (2024) Scotland’s economy after 25 years of devolution. Scottish Affairs, 33(4), pp. 381-405. (doi: 10.3366/scot.2024.0521)

Connolly, Kevin, Greig, Alastair, McGregor, Peter G., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Swales, J. Kim (2024) Devolved fiscal powers, increased competitiveness and ‘levelling up’: a simulation approach. Regional Studies, 58(5), pp. 952-967. (doi: 10.1080/00343404.2023.2276333)

Mackenzie, Niall ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3769-7086, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Stewart, Sandy (2024) 70 years of Scottish National Accounts with and without North Sea Oil: 1948-2018. 2024 Economic History Society (EHS) Annual Conference, Newcastle upon Tyne, England, 05-07 April 2024.

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Richardson, Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6232-1323 (2024) Local authorities and fiscal sustainability: the value of evidence. [Website]

Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and McIntyre, Stuart (2024) Workshop explores inclusive growth policy within the Glasgow City Region. [Website]

Connolly, Kevin, Eiser, David, Kumar, Ashwin, McGregor, Peter G. and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2024) A micro-macro-economic modelling approach to major welfare system reforms: The case of a Universal Basic Income for Scotland. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 68, pp. 259-268. (doi: 10.1016/j.strueco.2023.10.005)

Borbely, Daniel, Gehrsitz, Markus, McIntyre, Stuart, Rossi, Gennaro and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2024) Rurality, socio‐economic disadvantage and educational mobility: a Scottish case study. British Educational Research Journal, 50(1), pp. 162-182. (doi: 10.1002/berj.3917)

2023

Borbely, Daniel, Gehrsitz, Markus, McIntyre, Stuart, Rossi, Gennaro and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Early years multi‐grade classes and pupil attainment. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 85(6), pp. 1295-1319. (doi: 10.1111/obes.12561)

Richardson, Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6232-1323 and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Most of Scotland is rural, and plans for net zero must make that work. [Website]

McIntyre, Stuart and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Revisiting the dimensions of rural resilience: the CoVid-19 pandemic. Journal of Rural Studies, 103, 103107. (doi: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2023.103107)

Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683, Pike, Andy and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) The prospect of City Deals in New Zealand. Discussion Paper. Glasgow Social Sciences Hub.

Ghosal, Sayantan ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6216-5810, Muscatelli, Anton and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Introduction to the Special Issue on Adam Smith@300. National Institute Economic Review, 265, pp. 1-4. (doi: 10.1017/nie.2023.29)

McIntyre, Stuart, Mitchell, James and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Fiscal devolution and the accountability gap: budget scrutiny following tax devolution to Scotland. Regional Studies, 57(7), pp. 1380-1391. (doi: 10.1080/00343404.2022.2112166)

Allan, Grant J., Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) A mission perspective on emissions reduction at the city level: the case of Glasgow, Scotland. Climate Policy, (doi: 10.1080/14693062.2023.2213223) (Early Online Publication)

Sachdev, R., Roy, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Allan, G. (2023) A framework for assessing the potential for a double dividend from a policy-induced reduction in alcohol consumption on the economy. Public Health, 218, pp. 180-185. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2023.03.010)

Alfano, Marco, Mckenzie, Ross and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Cross-occupational effects of immigration on native wages in the UK. Applied Economics Letters, (doi: 10.1080/13504851.2023.2204213) (Early Online Publication)

Figus, G., McGregor, P., McIntyre, S.G. and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2023) Trade-offs: understanding future trade options for Scotland. National Institute Economic Review, 260(1), pp. 26-39. (doi: 10.1017/nie.2022.7)

Greene, Zachary, Jasinski, Jan M., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Schober, Thomas and Scotto, Thomas J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4801-6821 (2023) "Plundering the liberal philosophical tradition"? The use or abuse of Adam Smith in Parliament, 1919-2023. National Institute Economic Review, 265, pp. 144-156. (doi: 10.1017/nie.2023.23)

2022

Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) The promises and pitfalls of operationalizing inclusive growth. Regional Studies, 56(11), pp. 1989-2000. (doi: 10.1080/00343404.2022.2050201)

Lisenkova, Katerina, Greig, Alastair, McGregor, Peter G., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Swales, J. K. (2022) Growth incentives and devolved fiscal systems. Regional Studies, 56(10), pp. 1744-1756. (doi: 10.1080/00343404.2021.2006172)

Darby, Julia, McIntyre, Stuart and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) What can analysis of 47 million job advertisements tell us about how opportunities for homeworking are evolving in the United Kingdom? Industrial Relations Journal, 53(4), pp. 281-302. (doi: 10.1111/irj.12375)

Mcintyre, Stuart, Mitchell, James and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) Careful what you wish for? Risk and reward tax with Scottish tax devolution. Political Quarterly, 93(3), pp. 392-400. (doi: 10.1111/1467-923X.13174)

Connolly, Kevin, Eiser, David, Kumar, Ashwin, McGregor, Peter G. and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) Universal Basic Income as an instrument of regional development policy: a micro–macroeconomic analysis for Scotland. Regional Studies, 56(6), pp. 1043-1055. (doi: 10.1080/00343404.2021.1957090)

Muscatelli, Anton, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Trew, Alex ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8689-9480 (2022) Persistent states: lessons for Scottish devolution and independence. National Institute Economic Review, 260, pp. 51-63. (doi: 10.1017/nie.2022.5)

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) Devolution after Brexit and Covid-19. In: 'Constitution and Governance in the UK'. Discussion Paper. UK in a Changing Europe.

McIntyre, Stuart, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 (2022) Levelling up: what might it mean for Scotland? [Website]

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) The Scottish National Party’s economic prospectus for independence: out with the old? Political Quarterly, 93(1), pp. 87-94. (doi: 10.1111/1467-923X.13101)

2021

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Bell, David and Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 (2021) Levelling up – an opportunity for coherent regional policy or a constitutional ruse? [Website]

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2021) Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS): a look beyond nearly 30 years of controversy at what it does and doesn't tell us about Scotland. Scottish Affairs, 30(4), pp. 423-449. (doi: 10.3366/scot.2021.0383)

Shipton, Deborah, Sarica, Shifa, Craig, Neil, McCartney, Gerry ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6341-3521, Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6593-9092, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, McGregor, Peter and Scobie, Graeme (2021) Knowing the goal: an inclusive economy that can address the public health challenges of our time. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 75(11), pp. 1129-1132. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2020-216070) (PMID:34158408) (PMCID:PMC8515097)

Eiser, David, Stewart, Robert, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Mitchell, Mark (2021) Implications of hours worked for inequality and poverty – final report. Project Report. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Findlay, Patricia, Lindsay, Colin, McIntyre, Stuart, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Stewart, Robert and Dutton, Eli (2021) CIPD Good Work Index 2021: Survey Report. Project Report. Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development, London.

Eiser, David, McEwen, Nicola and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2021) The trade policies of Brexit Britain: the influence of and impacts on the devolved nations. European Review of International Studies, 8(1), pp. 22-48. (doi: 10.1163/21967415-bja10034)

Paquin, Stéphane, Rioux, X. Hubert, Eiser, David, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Wooton, Ian (2021) Quebec, Scotland, and substate governments’ roles in Canadian and British trade policy: lessons to be learned. International Journal, 76(1), pp. 85-105. (doi: 10.1177/0020702021992856)

Watts, Rob, Congreve, Emma and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2021) Scotland's Employment Landscape for People with Learning Disabilities. Project Report. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Findlay, Patricia, Lindsay, Colin and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2021) Business models, innovation and employees experiences in the workplace: challenges for the post-Covid-19 economy. In: McCann, Philip and Vorley, Tim (eds.) Productivity and the Pandemic: Challenges and Insights from Covid-19. Edward Elgar Publishing Limited: Cheltenham, UK, pp. 132-146. ISBN 9781800374591 (doi: 10.4337/9781800374607.00016)

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Eiser, David (2021) What are the implications of independence for public revenues and spending? In: Hepburn, Eve, Keating, Michael and McEwen, Nicola (eds.) Scotland's New Choice: Independence After Brexit. Centre on Constitutional Change: Edinburgh, pp. 91-101. ISBN 9781838443313

2020

Fraser of Allander Institute (2020) Scotland's Budget Report 2020. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Ross, Andrew G., Allan, Grant, Figus, Gioele, McGregor, Peter G., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Swales, J. Kim and Turner, Karen (2020) The economic impacts of UK fiscal policies and their spillover effects on the energy system. In: Madden, John R., Shibusawa, Hiroyuki and Higano, Yoshiro (eds.) Environmental Economics and Computable General Equilibrium Analysis: Essays in Memory of Yuzuru Miyata. Series: New frontiers in regional science: Asian perspectives (41). Springer: Singapore, pp. 171-192. ISBN 9789811539695 (doi: 10.1007/978-981-15-3970-1_8)

Connolly, Kevin, Eiser, David, McGregor, Peter and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2020) Modelling the Economic Impact of a Citizen's Basic Income in Scotland. Project Report. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Allan, Grant J., McGrane, Scott J., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Baer, Thomas M. (2020) Scotland's industrial water use: understanding recent changes and examining the future. Environmental Science and Policy, 106, pp. 48-57. (doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.01.005)

Fraser of Allander Institute (2020) The economic contribution of the Scottish Professional Football League. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

2019

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2019) 2019 Sir Alexander Stone Lecture: Brexit: the unanswered questions for UK and Scottish policymakers. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 43(4),

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2019) Scotland's population transition: its implications for the Scottish economy, Scottish Budget and policy. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 43(4),

Fraser of Allander Institute (2019) Scotland's Budget Report 2019. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Cooper, Ben (2019) The Relationship Between Infrastructure and Inclusive Economic Growth: Evidence Review. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, Borbely, Daniel, Figus, Gioele, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Feasibility Study on Developing Trade Modelling for Scotland. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2019) The Direct Long-term Trade Impacts of EU Exit Scenarios on Northern Ireland. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Eiser, David and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2019) The fiscal framework: 2021 review. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 43(2),

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Eiser, David (2019) The Scottish economy: fiscal challenges and opportunities. In: Mitchell, James and Johnston, Jim (eds.) The Scottish Parliament at Twenty. Luath Press: Edinburgh. ISBN 9781913025335

Darby, Julia and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2019) Political uncertainty and stock market volatility: new evidence from the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 66(2), pp. 314-330. (doi: 10.1111/sjpe.12186)

Black, James, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Brexit and the Sectors of the Scottish Economy - Update. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Scotland in 2050: Realising Our Global Potential. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, McGeocgh, Adam, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Scottish Cities Outlook. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

2018

McGrane, Scott J., Allan, Grant J. and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2018) Water as an economic resource and the impacts of climate change on the hydrosphere, regional economies and Scotland. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 42(4), pp. 53-74.

Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683, Maclennan, Duncan ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-3344, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and McNulty, Des (2018) The emergence and evolution of City Deals in Scotland. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 42(4), pp. 75-90.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2018) Scotland's Budget Report 2018. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2018) Brexit and the Glasgow City Region. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Ross, Andrew G., Allan, Grant, Figus, Gioele, McGregor, Peter G., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Swales, J. Kim and Turner, Karen (2018) Highlighting the need for policy coordination: the economic impacts of UK trade-enhancing industrial policies and their spillover effects on the energy system. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 42(3),

Figus, Gioele, Lisenkova, Katerina, McGregor, Peter, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Swales, Kim (2018) The long-term economic implications of Brexit for Scotland: an interregional analysis. Papers in Regional Science, 97(1), pp. 91-115. (doi: 10.1111/pirs.12349)

2017

Fraser of Allander Institute (2017) Scotland's Budget Report 2017. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

2016

Fraser of Allander Institute (2016) Scotland's Budget - 2016. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

2012

Milne, Robin G., Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Angeles, Luis ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9254-4608 (2012) Competition, quality and contract compliance: evidence from compulsory competitive tendering in local government in Great Britain, 1987-2000. Fiscal Studies, 33(4), pp. 513-546. (doi: 10.1111/j.1475-5890.2012.00171.x)

2008

Allan, Grant and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2008) Does television crowd out spectators? Journal of Sports Economics, 9(6), pp. 592-605. (doi: 10.1177/1527002508321458)

2006

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2006) Is fiscal decentralisation good for growth? Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 31(2), pp. 39-49.

2005

Darby, Julia, Muscatelli, V. Anton and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2005) Fiscal consolidation and decentralisation: a tale of two tiers. Fiscal Studies, 26(2), pp. 169-195. (doi: 10.1111/j.1475-5890.2005.00009.x)

2003

Darby, Julia, Muscatelli, Anton and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2003) Fiscal decentralisation in Europe: a review of recent experience. European Research in Regional Science, 13(1), pp. 13-37.

2002

Darby, Julia, Muscatelli, Anton and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2002) Fiscal federalism and fiscal autonomy: lessons for the UK from other industrialised countries. Scottish Affairs, 41 s1(1), pp. 26-55. (doi: 10.3366/scot.2002.0052)

This list was generated on Sun Jun 15 04:55:22 2025 BST.

Jump to: Articles | Book Sections | Research Reports or Papers | Conference or Workshop Item | Website

Number of items: 71.

Articles

Eiser, David and Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2019) The fiscal framework: 2021 review. Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 43(2),

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2006) Is fiscal decentralisation good for growth? Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary, 31(2), pp. 39-49.

Book Sections

Research Reports or Papers

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 (2022) Devolution after Brexit and Covid-19. In: 'Constitution and Governance in the UK'. Discussion Paper. UK in a Changing Europe.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2020) Scotland's Budget Report 2020. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2020) The economic contribution of the Scottish Professional Football League. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2019) Scotland's Budget Report 2019. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2019) The Direct Long-term Trade Impacts of EU Exit Scenarios on Northern Ireland. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Brexit and the Sectors of the Scottish Economy - Update. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Scotland in 2050: Realising Our Global Potential. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Black, James, McGeocgh, Adam, Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408 and Spowage, Mairi (2019) Scottish Cities Outlook. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2018) Scotland's Budget Report 2018. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2018) Brexit and the Glasgow City Region. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2017) Scotland's Budget Report 2017. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Fraser of Allander Institute (2016) Scotland's Budget - 2016. Other. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

Conference or Workshop Item

Website

Roy, Graeme ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5376-5408, Muscatelli, Anton and Waite, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0567-5683 (2024) The 2024 Budget and regional productivity. [Website]

This list was generated on Sun Jun 15 04:55:22 2025 BST.

Grants

Principal-investigator

“ESRC Impact Acceleration Account, Glasgow", Value of award: £1.25m, Apr 2023 – Mar 2028
The ProPEL Hub – extension 2023/24, ESRC, Value of award: £399,423, Jul 2023 – Mar 2024
The ProPEL Hub – “Productivity Outcomes of workplace Practice, Engagement and Learning”, ESRC, Value of award: £1.57 million, Jan 2020 – Dec 2022, propelhub.org(transferred from PI to CI when moved to Glasgow)
“The changing patterns of working hours and the implications for poverty and inequality”, Standard Life Foundation, Value of award: £68,000, Jan 2020 - Jan 21.
“Modelling the Economic Impact of a Citizen’s Basic Income in Scotland”, Scottish Improvement Service, Value of award: £112,500, Apr 2019 – Jan 2020
“Boosting Applied Economics Capacity in Scotland”, Scottish Funding Council, Value of award: £225,000, Jan 2019 – Dec 2021
“Evaluating the impact of Scottish Enterprise Grants”, Scottish Enterprise, Value of award: £40,000, Jan 2018 – Mar 2019
“The impact of non-energy policies on the energy system”, UK Energy Research Centre, Value of award: £214,076, Jun 2017 – Dec 2018
“Developing macroeconomic modelling for Scottish think-tanks”, Scottish Policy Foundation, Value of award £85,000, Jul 2017 – Jun 2019
“Scotland’s new Fiscal Powers”, Scottish Funding Council, Value of award £40,000, Sep 2016 – Aug 2018

Co-investigator

“Give them time? The effects of deferred school start”, ESRC, Value of award: £298,116, Jan 2024 – Dec 2025
“Population Health Improvement UK (PHI-UK) network”, Value of award: £7.5m, Apr 2024 – Apr 2028
“Economic Observatory”, ESRC, Value of award: £1.1m, Jan 2023 – Dec 2024
"International Public Policy Observatory”, ESRC, £2.2 million, Jan 2023 – Dec 2024
“Smith@300: Celebrating Adam Smith As Scholar, Educator, And Citizen”, John Templeton Foundation, $1,182,387, 2022 - 2024
“Gallant: Glasgow as a Living Lab Accelerating Novel Transformation”, NERC £10.2 million, Jan 2022 – Jan 2027
“University of Glasgow College of Social Sciences ESRC Impact Accelerator Account”, Until December 2022
“Economic Observatory”, ESRC, Value of award: £882,886, Dec 2020 – Dec 2022 
“Improving the quality of regional economic indicators”, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE), Value of award: £240,000, Apr 2019 – May 2021
“Evaluation of the Small Business Bonus Scheme in Scotland”, Scottish Government, Value of award: £81,000, Jun 2019 – Jan 2021
“Improving the quality of regional economic indicators”, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE), Value of award: £287,000, Jul 2017 – Apr 2019
"Class Size and Human Capital Accumulation", Nuffield Foundation, Value of award: £130,000, Apr 2019 – Mar 2021
“The roles of provinces and devolved administrations in the negotiation and implementation of a Canada-UK trade agreement”, Knowledge Synthesis Grant, ESRC, Value of award: £8,048, Feb 2018 – Dec 2018

Supervision

Graeme is happy to supervise students with an interest in public policy, fiscal decentralisation and devolution.

Completed students

Ross McKenzie, 2023: “Essays on the economic impact of migration in sending and receiving countries”
Daniel Borbely, 2020: “Essays in Essays on the impact of changing tax rates and welfare spending”
Rohan Sachdev, 2021: "Economic modelling of alcohol taxes", now working in public sector research

Additional information

For writings between 2016 and 2021 (including various editions of the Fraser of Allander Economic Commentary).

Director of the Economic Futures initiative: 3-year funding programme to support the development of applied economics in Scotland.

Press articles

The Herald articles

Trade discussions jeopardised by simple zero-sum maths (May 2025)
No time to wait for Trump to dictate UK's economic future (March 2025)
Tired narrative speaks to narrow view of UK prosperity (February 2025)
Here's one reason to start 2025 with a sense of optimism (January 2025)
Upward revisions reflect more positive outlook for Scotland (December 2024)
Does style overshadow substance in Scots economic debate? (November 2024)
Time to play the long game as budget crunch draws near (October 2024)
Improving economic outlook crucial for public finances (September 2024)
Time to focus on the economy we have in UK, not one we fantasise about (August 2024)
'Productivity puzzle' looms large as July 4 election looms (June 2024)
What happens in the world’s biggest economy affects our prosperity too (May 2024)
Reset of relationship between Holyrood and Westminster essential (April 2024)
Cost of climate change requires a frank political discussion (March 2024)
Scottish Budget weaving its way through parliamentary scrutiny (February 2024)
Scottish Government income tax policy - the key numbers (January 2024)
Levelling-up has concentrated on so-called ‘left-behind’ regions (November 2023)
Scotland census reveals population shifts: Graeme Roy (October 2023)
Statistics must be treated with caution (September 2023)
Major takeovers see profits exit Scotland (August 2023)
Scottish economy sees slow and fragile growth (June 2023)
First and foremost, Adam Smith was a moral philosopher (May 2023)
Scottish fiscal sustainability questions loom large (April 2023)
Fiscal pressures not unique to Scotland but plan needed (March 2023)
Fixating on minutiae misses the overall economic story (February 2023)
History’s valuable lessons in the economic fundamentals (December 2022)
The issues Adam Smith wrote about are still relevant today (December 2022)
Effect of high inflation is big difference this time (November 2022)
Work of independent fiscal institutions benefits all of us (October 2022)
Home working here to stay and its effects will be varied (August 2022)
Unenviable rate decisions as inflation fuels recession fear (July 2022)
Long-term sustainability of Scotland’s finances in focus (June 2022)
Relentless focus on delivery required for economy (April 2022)
Academic input into constitutional debate is welcome (February 2022)
Spring spending review is good time to take stock (January 2022)
Productivity task is a long-term one (December 2021)
Budget reaction focused too much on short-term politics (November 2021)
Budget debate vital to growth prospects (October 2021)
National insurance row puts fresh strain on Scotland-UK relationship (September 2021)
What do we mean by levelling-up? (August 2021)
Nations must work together to foster a global Covid recovery (August 2021)
Slower progress than hoped (July 2021)
Hugely uneven recovery in prospect (June 2021)
What can we learn from across the Irish Sea? (May 2021)
Crucial to scrutinise costs of politicians’ election promises (April 2021)
Levelling up is much easier said than done (March 2021)
Rishi Sunak must prioritise economic recovery (February 2021)
We must back rural and island economies (January 2021)
EU exit will shape our economy for decades (December 2020)
Scale of crisis means unpalatable choices (October 2020)
Will the new Job Retention Scheme work? (September 2020)
Re-birth of our towns will need genuine partnership (August 2020)
Collective response as a country to eliminate this virus holds key to speed of economic recovery (July 2020)
The importance of a prosperous economy for our collective wellbeing cannot be overestimated (June 2020)
There is simply no precedent for situation we find ourselves in (April 2020)
Tackling regional inequalities is the latest to be resurrected from the archives (March 2020)
Sober assessment of Scotland’s economic prospects is hardly surprising (February 2020)

The Herald - Business HQ magazine

Amid all the current panic over energy and inflation, another major threat to public finances and the economy is looming….our ageing population (October 2022)

Parliamentary engagement

Adviser to Scottish Parliament Economy, Jobs and Fair Work Committee (2017 – 2018)
Witness to Scottish Parliament Committees: Economy Committee, Culture, Tourism, Europe and External Relations, Finance and Constitution Committee
Witness to House of Commons Scottish Affair Committee
Witness to House of Lords EU Select Committee & Constitution Committee

Selected public lectures/invited talks

Royal Society of Arts, ‘Facing the Future’, Edinburgh, November 2024
Royal Society of Edinburgh & The Productivity Institute, ‘Productivity and SMEs’, Edinburgh November 2024
CIOT/ATG Annual President’s Lunch, “25 years of tax devolution”, Edinburgh, May 2024
Scottish Economic Society Public Policy Keynote Lecture at Scottish Economic Society 2024 Conference, “Who Bears the Risk? Fiscal Sustainability and Fiscal Devolution” Glasgow, Apil 2024
2023 – UK Government Devolution Learning Week, “In Conversation with the UK Fiscal Councils: OBR (Richard Hughes), NI Fiscal Council (Sir Robert Chote) and SFC (Prof Graeme Roy)
2023 – Scottish Leaders Forum, “Scotland’s long-term fiscal challenges”, Edinburgh, November 2023
2023 – COSLA, “The Future of Local Government Leadership”, Crieff, September 2023
2023 – Institute for Government & Economic Observatory, “Fiscal Devolution”, London, September 2023
2023 – Northern Ireland Fiscal Council, “Revenue raising and fiscal sustainability”, Belfast, September 2023
2023 – RES Special Session, “Fiscal Sustainability”, Glasgow, April 2023
2023 – Chicago Scots, “Adam Smith”, Chicago February 2023
2022 Scottish Leaders Forum, “The outlook for the public finances, October 2022
2022: SOLACE, “Supply and Demand Pressures on Public Funding”, Edinburgh, September 2022
2022: UK in a Changing Europe, "Independence in the EU and Scotlands borders", online, February 2022
2021: The Royal Society of Edinburgh (RSE), "The road to the bawee - Currency options for an independent Scotland", Edinburgh, December 2021
2020: Chartered Institute of Taxation Annual Public Lecture, “Scotland’s tax powers: Opportunities and risks”, Edinburgh, March 2020
2019: Sir Alexander Stone Lecture: “Brexit: the unanswered questions for UK and Scottish policymakers”, Glasgow, November 2019
2019 David Hume Institute, “Scotland's population transition: its implications for the Scottish economy, Scottish Budget and policy”, Edinburgh, November 2019
2019: SCDI Annual Conference, “Scotland’s Productivity Challenge”, Edinburgh, April 2019
Glasgow State of the City 2018, “Brexit and the Glasgow Economy”, Glasgow, December 2018
2018: CIPFA Annual Conference, “Outlook for Scotland’s Budget”, Glasgow, March 2018
Business Insider Top 500 2018, “Brexit and the Scottish economy”, Edinburgh January 2018
2017: Glasgow Trades House Annual Lecture, “Opportunities and risks for Scotland in a post-Brexit world”, Glasgow, May 2017
David Hume Institute, “Scotland's new budget framework”, Edinburgh, May 2017

Other

Lead editor, ESRC Economic Observatory(since March 2020)
Chair ESRC Policy Fellowship Panel 2021
Member of Senior Management team of Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence, July 2017 – November 2021
Member, Scottish Government Advisory Council for Economic Transformation, 2021 - 2022
Chair, Independent Evaluation Group into Economic Impact of Minimum Unit Pricing, Public Health Scotland, since 2018
Adviser, Scottish Business Taskforce, UK Government, 2017 - 2020
Independent adviser, Strategic Labour Market Group, Scottish Government, 2017 - 2021
Aberdeen City Region Growth Panel, 2019 - 2024
Commissioner, Glasgow City Region City Deal Growth Commission, since 2016
Independent expert, Review of Scottish Legal Aid Fees, Scottish Government, 2018 - 2021

Profile photo of Prof Graeme Roy, Dean of External Engagement (Social Sciences College Senior Management) and Professor in Economics (Economics)

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