Jialin Gong

Email: j.gong.1@research.gla.ac.uk

Office: Room 101, 11 Southpark Terrace, University of Glasgow G12 8LG

Research title: The impact of fiscal stimulus package on the Chinese economy

Research Summary

Jialin's research focuses on the effects of China's fiscal stimulus package, the 4 trillion package, aiming to conduct a comprehensive channel analysis of its economic consequences. 

The impact of the economic stimulus package on China's economic growth (completed)

This paper studies the growth effects of China's economic stimulus plan of 2009-10. I use the recently developed regression methods, the error correction model (ECM) and the pooled mean group (PMG) approach, which treats heterogeneous short-run dynamics explicitly within a long-run model. Results suggest that there is a significant long-term negative link between fiscal/credit expansion and growth in China, while the short-term effects are positive. I argue that the stimulus plan is one of the factors behind the slowdown in Chinese growth due to its disproportionate allocation of government expenditure and bank credit. 

Research interests: 

Fiscal policy (short- and long-run effects of fiscal shocks on output composition, growth and productivity, links between fiscal cycle and financial cycle)

Access to financial services (the impact and dynamics of access to credit)

The Chinese economy 

Conference

The 13th Chinese Economic Association (CEA Europe) and 32nd CEA UK Annual Conference 2021, 4th-5th December 2021

 

Teaching

ECON1002 Economics 1B (introductory macroeconomics) (tutorial and seminar)

Additional Information

Educational background: 

2018 - 2019 Master of Science in  Economics, Banking and Finance, Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, UK 

2014 - 2018 Bachelor in Economics (Risk Management and Insurance), School of Finance, Nankai University, China  

Winter school: 

2021 Delhi Winter School organized by the Delhi School of Economics and the Econometric Society, Virtual