Jialin Gong

Email: j.gong.1@research.gla.ac.uk

Office: Room 101, 11 Southpark Terrace, University of Glasgow G12 8LG

Research title: The impact of fiscal stimulus package on the Chinese economy

Research Summary

Jialin's research focuses on the effects of China's fiscal stimulus package, the 4 trillion package, aiming to conduct a comprehensive channel analysis of its economic consequences. 

Working in progress: 

Quantity or quality? The effect of China's stimulus-driven credit expansion at the industry level. 

Completed paper: 

The impact of the economic stimulus package on China's economic growth 

This paper studies the growth effects of China's economic stimulus plan of 2009-10. I use the recently developed regression methods, the error correction model (ECM) and the pooled mean group (PMG) approach, which treats heterogeneous short-run dynamics explicitly within a long-run model. Results suggest that there is a significant long-term negative link between fiscal/credit expansion and growth in China, while the short-term effects are positive. I argue that the stimulus plan is one of the factors behind the slowdown in Chinese growth due to its disproportionate allocation of government expenditure and bank credit. 

Research interests: 

Fiscal policy (short- and long-run effects of fiscal shocks on output composition, growth and productivity, links between fiscal cycle and financial cycle)

Access to financial services (the impact and dynamics of access to credit)

The Chinese economy 

Supervisors

Conference

Chinese Economist Society, Annual Conference (Virtual), June 2022

Scottish Economic Conference, Annual Conference (Glasgow, UK), April 2022

Chinese Economic Association (Europe and UK), Annual Conference (Virtual), December 2021

 

Teaching

ECON1002 Economics 1B (Macroeconomics)

ECON1002 Economics 1B (Mathematics)

ECON1013 Introductory Statistic for Economics 

Additional Information

Educational background: 

2018 - 2019 Master of Science in  Economics, Banking and Finance, Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, UK 

2014 - 2018 Bachelor in Economics (Risk Management and Insurance), School of Finance, Nankai University, China  

Summer/Winter school: 

Asian Summer School in Econometrics and Statistics, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Econometric Society (Virtual), July 2022

The 3rd AMSE Summer School: Economic of Growth, Aix-Marseilles School of Economics (Marseilles, France), July 2022

2021 Delhi Winter School, Delhi School of Economics and the Econometric Society (Virtual), December 2021

Other academic services: 

Chair: Chinese Economists Society 2022 Annual Conference (Virtual). 

Discussant: Chinese Economists Society 2022 Annual Conference (Virtual); Chinese Economic Association 2021 Annual Conference (Virtual).