Dr Jonathan Stokes

Senior Research Fellow (MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit)

email: Jonathan.Stokes@glasgow.ac.uk

MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Clarice Pears Building, 90 Byres Road, Glasgow, G12 8TB

Import to contacts

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3266-1474

Biography

Jonathan joined the MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit as a Research Fellow in Public Health Equity in September 2022 as part of the Systems Science programme.

He is also a visiting Associate Professor at the University of Southern Denmark within the Department of Public Health, DaCHE – Danish Centre for Health Economics, and an Honorary Research Fellow at the University of Manchester within the School of Health Sciences.

He holds a BSc (Hons) in Medical Sciences (2011, University of Edinburgh), a Master’s in Public Health (2013, Imperial College London), and a PhD in Medicine (2016, ‘Multimorbidity and integrated care’, University of Manchester, UoM).

From 2019-22 he held a personal MRC Skills Development Fellowship in Health Economics at University of Manchester, ‘Health economic skills for advancing health policy: capturing effects of prevention and intervention beyond traditional health services’.

From 2016-19 he worked on a large European Horizon2020 project, SELFIE (Sustainable intEgrated care modeLs for multi-morbidity: delivery, FInancing and performancE), evaluating and conceptualising incentives for integrated care.

Jonathan's research interests focus on comparison, evaluation, and recommendations for economic determinants and financial incentives in (complex adaptive) systems. He also has an interest in complex patient groups, particularly multimorbidity.

Research interests

Health inequalities, and their link to political, economic, environmental and behavioural factors
Economic determinants of health and health inequalities, and adapting incentives to change behaviour within systems
Multimorbidity, prevention and improving models of care
Cross-government policy approaches that maximise health and wellbeing

Publications

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Jump to: 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014

Number of items: 49.

2025

Stokes, J. (2025) Broadening the boundaries of integrated care in response to necessity: where are the limits for each sector, and who should pay for what? International Journal of Health Policy and Management, (doi: 10.34172/IJHPM.9084) (In Press)

Kakampakou, L., Stokes, J. , Hoehn, A. , de Kamps, M., Lawniczak, W., Arnold, K. F., Hensor, E. M.A., Heppenstall, A. J. and Gilthorpe, M. S. (2025) Simulating hierarchical data to assess the utility of ecological versus multilevel analyses in obtaining individual-level causal effects. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 25, 79. (doi: 10.1186/s12874-025-02504-6) (PMID:40121398) (PMCID:PMC11929225)

Zhang, Y., Stokes, J. , Anselmi, L., Bower, P. and Xu, J. (2025) Can integrated care interventions strengthen primary care and improve outcomes for patients with chronic diseases? A systematic review and meta‑analysis. Health Research Policy and Systems, 23, 5. (doi: 10.1186/s12961-024-01260-1) (PMCID:PMC11702112)

2024

Pollack, R. et al. (2024) How could 20-minute neighbourhoods impact health and health inequalities? A policy scoping review. BMC Public Health, 24, 3426. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20928-5) (PMID:39696117) (PMCID:PMC11653922)

Hayes, H., Meacock, R., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2024) How do family doctors respond to reduced waiting times for cancer diagnosis in secondary care? European Journal of Health Economics, 25(5), pp. 813-828. (doi: 10.1007/s10198-023-01626-2) (PMID:37787842) (PMCID:PMC11192671)

Hayes, H., Meacock, R., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2024) The effect of local hospital waiting times on GP referrals for suspected cancer. PLoS ONE, 19(5), e0294061. (doi: 10.1371/journal. pone.0294061) (PMID:38718085) (PMCID:PMC11078401)

Hayes, H., Stokes, J. , Sutton, M. and Meacock, R. (2024) How do hospitals respond to payment unbundling for diagnostic imaging of suspected cancer patients? Health Economics, 33(5), pp. 823-843. (doi: 10.1002/hec.4804) (PMID:38233916)

Stokes, J. , Bower, P., Smith, S. M., Guthrie, B., Blakeman, T., Valderas, J. M. and Salisbury, C. (2024) A primary care research agenda for multiple long-term conditions: a Delphi study. British Journal of General Practice, 74(741), e258-e263. (doi: 10.3399/BJGP.2023.0163) (PMID:38164536) (PMCID:PMC10947355)

2023

Simpson, G. et al. (2023) Eliciting and prioritising determinants of improved care in multimorbidity: A modified online Delphi study. Journal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity, 13, pp. 1-13. (doi: 10.1177/26335565231194552) (PMID:37692105) (PMCID:PMC10483969)

Moss, C., Anselmi, L., Morciano, M., Munford, L., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2023) Analysing changes to the flow of public funding within local health and care systems: an adaptation of the System of Health Accounts framework to a local health system in England. Health Policy, 137, 104904. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104904) (PMID:37717554)

Höhn, A. et al. (2023) Systems science methods in public health: what can they contribute to our understanding of and response to the cost-of-living crisis? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 77(9), pp. 610-616. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-220435) (PMID:37328262) (PMCID:PMC10423532)

Simpson, G., Stokes, J. , Farmer, A. and Dambha-Miller, H. (2023) Social care need in multimorbidity. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 116(4), pp. 124-127. (doi: 10.1177/01410768231168382) (PMID:37078268) (PMCID:PMC10164274)

Oikonomidi, T., Norman, G., McGarrigle, L., Stokes, J. , van der Veer, S. N. and Dowding, D. (2023) Predictive model-based interventions to reduce outpatient no-shows: a rapid systematic review. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association, 30(3), pp. 559-569. (doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocac242) (PMID:36508503) (PMCID:PMC9933067)

Simpson, G., Entwistle, C., Short, A. D., Morciano, M. and Stokes, J. (2023) A typology of integrated care policies in the care home sector: a policy document analysis. Frontiers in Public Health, 11, 943351. (doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.943351) (PMID:36895695) (PMCID:PMC9989008)

2022

Almorox, E. G., Stokes, J. and Morciano, M. (2022) Has COVID-19 changed carer's views of health and care integration in care homes? A sentiment difference-in-difference analysis of on-line service reviews. Health Policy, 126(11), pp. 1117-1123. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2022.08.010) (PMID:36064471) (PMCID:PMC9396455)

Goldzahl, L., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2022) The effects of multi-disciplinary integrated care on healthcare utilization: Evidence from a natural experiment in the UK. Health Economics, 31(10), pp. 2142-2169. (doi: 10.1002/hec.4561) (PMID:35932257)

Tebaldi, D. and Stokes, J. (2022) Defining pooled’ place-based’ budgets for health and social care: a scoping review. International Journal of Integrated Care, 22(3), 16. (doi: 10.5334/ijic.6507) (PMID:36186513) (PMCID:PMC9479665)

Stokes, J. , Bower, P., Guthrie, B., Mercer, S. W., Rice, N., Ryan, A. M. and Sutton, M. (2022) Cuts to local government spending, multimorbidity and health-related quality of life: A longitudinal ecological study in England. Lancet Regional Health - Europe, 19, 100436. (doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100436) (PMID:36039277) (PMCID:PMC9417904)

Dambha-Miller, H. et al. (2022) Development and validation of population clusters for integrating health and social care: protocol for a mixed methods study in multiple long-term conditions (cluster-artificial intelligence for multiple long-term conditions). JMIR Research Protocols, 11(6), e34405. (doi: 10.2196/34405) (PMID:35708751) (PMCID:PMC9247810)

Stokes, J. (2022) Inequalities exacerbated: an all-too-familiar story. BMJ Quality and Safety, 31, pp. 561-564. (doi: 10.1136/bmjqs-2021-014422) (PMID:35042766)

Stokes, J. , Turner, A. J., Anselmi, L., Morciano, M. and Hone, T. (2022) The relative effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on wave one Covid-19 mortality: natural experiment in 130 countries. BMC Public Health, 22, 1113. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13546-6) (PMID:35659646) (PMCID:PMC9165709)

2021

Karimi, M., Tsiachristas, A., Looman, W., Stokes, J. , van Galen, M. and Rutten-van Mölken, M. (2021) Bundled payments for chronic diseases increased health care expenditure in the Netherlands, especially for multimorbid patients. Health Policy, 125(6), pp. 751-759. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2021.04.004) (PMID:33947604)

Hayes, H., Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S. R. and Sutton, M. (2021) The effect of payment method and multimorbidity on health and healthcare utilisation. Journal of Health Organization and Management, 35(3), pp. 382-405. (doi: 10.1108/JHOM-05-2020-0208)

Looman, W. et al. (2021) Drivers of successful implementation of integrated care for multi-morbidity: Mechanisms identified in 17 case studies from 8 European countries. Social Science and Medicine, 277, 113728. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113728) (PMID:33878666)

Stokes, J. , Shah, V., Goldzahl, L., Rud Kristensen, S. and Sutton, M. (2021) Does prevention-focused integration lead to the triple aim? An evaluation of two new care models in England. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 26(2), pp. 125-132. (doi: 10.1177/1355819620963500)

Shah, V., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2021) Inequalities in health-related quality of life: repeated cross-sectional study of trends in general practice survey data. British Journal of General Practice, 71(704), e178-e184. (doi: 10.3399/BJGP.2020.0616) (PMID:33619049) (PMCID:PMC7909931)

Hone, T., Stokes, J. , Trajman, A., Saraceni, V., Medina Coeli, C., Rasella, D., Durovni, B. and Millett, C. (2021) Racial and socioeconomic disparities in multimorbidity and associated healthcare utilisation and outcomes in Brazil: a cross-sectional analysis of three million individuals. BMC Public Health, 21, 1287. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-11328-0) (PMID:34210313) (PMCID:PMC8252284)

Morciano, M., Stokes, J. , Kontopantelis, E., hall, i. and Turner, A. J. (2021) Excess mortality for care home residents during the first 23 weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic in England: a national cohort study. BMC Medicine, 19, 71. (doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-01945-2) (PMID:33663498) (PMCID:PMC7932761)

Stokes, J. , Guthrie, B., Mercer, S., Rice, N. and Sutton, M. (2021) Multimorbidity combinations, costs of hospital care and potentially preventable emergency admissions in England: A cohort study. PLoS Medicine, 18(1), e1003514. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003514) (PMID:33439870) (PMCID:PMC7815339)

2020

Czypionka, T. et al. (2020) The patient at the centre: Evidence from 17 European integrated care programmes for persons with complex needs. BMC Health Services Research, 20(1), 1102. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-020-05917-9) (PMID:33256723) (PMCID:PMC7706259)

Rutten-van Mölken, M. et al. (2020) Comparing patients’ and other stakeholders’ preferences for outcomes of integrated care for multimorbidity: a discrete choice experiment in eight European countries. BMJ Open, 10(10), e03754. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037547) (PMID:33039997) (PMCID:PMC7552858)

Morciano, M., Checkland, K., Billings, J., Coleman, A., Stokes, J. , Tallack, C. and Sutton, M. (2020) New integrated care models in England associated with small reduction in hospital admissions in longer-term: a difference-in-differences analysis. Health Policy, 124(8), pp. 826-833. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2020.06.004) (PMID:32595094) (PMCID:PMC7386936)

Brunton, L., Stokes, J. , Gellatly, J., Bower, P., Sutton, M. and Wilson, P. (2020) Learning Lessons from Implementation of a National Diabetes Prevention Programme in England. Health Services Research (HSR) UK 2020, 1-3 July 2020.

2019

Stokes, J. , Gellatly, J., Bower, P., Meacock, R., Cotterill, S., Sutton, M. and Wilson, P. (2019) Implementing a national diabetes prevention programme in England: lessons learned. BMC Health Services Research, 19(1), 991. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-019-4809-3) (PMID:31870371) (PMCID:PMC6929377)

Shah, V., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2019) Effects of non-medical health coaching on multimorbid patients in primary care: a difference-in-differences analysis. BMC Health Services Research, 19(1), 593. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-019-4367-8) (PMID:31438937) (PMCID:PMC6704561)

Stokes, J. , Lau, Y.-S., Rud Kristensen, S. and Sutton, M. (2019) Does pooling health and social care budgets reduce hospital use and lower costs? Social Science and Medicine, 232, pp. 382-388. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2019.05.038) (PMID:31146147)

2018

Stokes, J. , Struckmann, V., Rud Kristensen, S., Fuchs, S., van Ginneken, E., Tsiachristas, A., Rutten-van Mölken, M. and Sutton, M. (2018) Towards incentivising integration: A typology of payments for integrated care. Health Policy, 122(9), pp. 963-969. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.07.003) (PMID:30033204)

Rutten-van Mölken, M. et al. (2018) Strengthening the evidence-base of integrated care for people with multi-morbidity in Europe using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). BMC Health Services Research, 18(1), 576. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-018-3367-4) (PMID:30041653) (PMCID:PMC6057041)

Stokes, J. , Riste, L. and Cheraghi-Sohi, S. (2018) Targeting the ‘right’ patients for integrated care: stakeholder perspectives from a qualitative study. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 23(4), (doi: 10.1177/1355819618788100) (PMID:29984592)

2017

Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S.R., Checkland, K., Cheraghi-Sohi, S. and Bower, P. (2017) Does the impact of case management vary in different subgroups of multimorbidity? Secondary analysis of a quasi-experiment. BMC Health Services Research, 17(1), 521. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-017-2475-x) (PMID:28774296) (PMCID:PMC5543754)

2016

Atun, R., Gurol-Urganci, I., Hone, T., Pell, L., Stokes, J. , Habicht, T., Lukka, K., Raaper, E. and Habicht, J. (2016) Shifting chronic disease management from hospitals to primary care in Estonian health system: analysis of national panel data. Journal of Global Health, 6(2), 020701. (doi: 10.7189/jogh.06.020701) (PMID:27648258) (PMCID:PMC5017034)

Stokes, J. , Checkland, K. and Kristensen, S.R. (2016) Integrated care: theory to practice. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 21(4), pp. 282-285. (doi: 10.1177/1355819616660581) (PMID:27473860)

Whittaker, W. et al. (2016) Associations between extending access to primary care and emergency department visits: a difference-in-differences analysis. PLoS Medicine, 13(9), e1002113. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002113) (PMID:27598248) (PMCID:PMC5012704)

Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S.R., Checkland, K. and Bower, P. (2016) Effectiveness of multidisciplinary team case management: difference-indifferences analysis. BMJ Open, 6(4), e010468. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010468) (PMID:27084278) (PMCID:PMC4838740)

2015

Stokes, J. , Gurol-Urganci, I., Hone, T. and Atun, R. (2015) Effect of health system reforms in Turkey on user satisfaction. Journal of Global Health, 5(2), 020403. (doi: 10.7189/jogh.05.020403) (PMID:26528391) (PMCID:PMC4622488)

Panagioti, M., Stokes, J. , Esmail, A., Coventry, P., Cheraghi-Sohi, S., Alam, R. and Bower, P. (2015) Multimorbidity and patient safety incidents in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS ONE, 10(8), e0135947. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0135947) (PMID:26317435) (PMCID:PMC4552710)

Stokes, J. , Panagioti, M., Alam, R., Checkland, K., Cheraghi-Sohi, S. and Bower, P. (2015) Effectiveness of case management for 'at risk' patients in primary care: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS ONE, 10(7), e0132340. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132340) (PMID:26186598) (PMCID:PMC4505905)

Anselmi, L. et al. (2015) NHS Greater Manchester Primary Care Demonstrator Evaluation. [Research Reports or Papers]

2014

Stokes, J. (2014) CCG Implementation of Integrated Care in the NHS. Health Services Research: Evidence-based practice, London, UK, 1-3 July 2014. pp. 1-65. (doi: 10.1186/1472-6963-14-S2-P119)

This list was generated on Wed May 14 18:44:37 2025 BST.

Jump to: Articles | Research Reports or Papers | Conference or Workshop Item

Number of items: 49.

Articles

Stokes, J. (2022) Inequalities exacerbated: an all-too-familiar story. BMJ Quality and Safety, 31, pp. 561-564. (doi: 10.1136/bmjqs-2021-014422) (PMID:35042766)

Research Reports or Papers

Anselmi, L. et al. (2015) NHS Greater Manchester Primary Care Demonstrator Evaluation. [Research Reports or Papers]

Conference or Workshop Item