Dr Jonathan Stokes

Research Fellow (MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit)

email: Jonathan.Stokes@glasgow.ac.uk

MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Clarice Pears Building, 90 Byres Road, Glasgow, G12 8TB

Import to contacts

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3266-1474

Biography

Jonathan joined the MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit as a Research Fellow in Public Health Equity in September 2022 as part of the Systems Science programme.

He holds a BSc (Hons) in Medical Sciences (2011, University of Edinburgh), a Master’s in Public Health (2013, Imperial College London), and a PhD in Medicine (2016, ‘Multimorbidity and integrated care’, University of Manchester, UoM).

From 2016-19 he worked on a large European Horizon2020 project, SELFIE (Sustainable intEgrated care modeLs for multi-morbidity: delivery, FInancing and performancE). From 2019-22 he held a MRC Skills Development Fellowship in Health Economics at UoM, ‘Health economic skills for advancing health policy: capturing effects of prevention and intervention beyond traditional health services’.

Jonathan's research interests focus on comparison, evaluation, and recommendations for (complex adaptive) systems. He also has an interest in complex patient groups, particularly multimorbidity.

Research interests

Wellbeing in all policies: Cross-government policy approaches that maximise health and wellbeing
Health inequalities, and their link to political, economic, environmental and behavioural factors
Multimorbidity, prevention and improving models of care

Publications

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Number of items: 38.

2023

Simpson, G. et al. (2023) Eliciting and prioritising determinants of improved care in multimorbidity: A modified online Delphi study. Journal of Multimorbidity and Comorbidity, 13, pp. 1-13. (doi: 10.1177/26335565231194552)

Moss, C., Anselmi, L., Morciano, M., Munford, L., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2023) Analysing changes to the flow of public funding within local health and care systems: an adaptation of the System of Health Accounts framework to a local health system in England. Health Policy, 137, 104904. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104904) (PMID:37717554)

Höhn, A. et al. (2023) Systems science methods in public health: what can they contribute to our understanding of and response to the cost-of-living crisis? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 77(9), pp. 610-616. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-220435) (PMID:37328262)

Simpson, G., Stokes, J. , Farmer, A. and Dambha-Miller, H. (2023) Social care need in multimorbidity. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 116(4), pp. 124-127. (doi: 10.1177/01410768231168382) (PMID:37078268) (PMCID:PMC10164274)

Oikonomidi, T., Norman, G., McGarrigle, L., Stokes, J. , van der Veer, S. N. and Dowding, D. (2023) Predictive model-based interventions to reduce outpatient no-shows: a rapid systematic review. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association, 30(3), pp. 559-569. (doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocac242) (PMID:36508503) (PMCID:PMC9933067)

Simpson, G., Entwistle, C., Short, A. D., Morciano, M. and Stokes, J. (2023) A typology of integrated care policies in the care home sector: a policy document analysis. Frontiers in Public Health, 11, 943351. (doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.943351) (PMID:36895695) (PMCID:PMC9989008)

2022

Almorox, E. G., Stokes, J. and Morciano, M. (2022) Has COVID-19 changed carer's views of health and care integration in care homes? A sentiment difference-in-difference analysis of on-line service reviews. Health Policy, 126(11), pp. 1117-1123. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2022.08.010) (PMID:36064471) (PMCID:PMC9396455)

Goldzahl, L., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2022) The effects of multi-disciplinary integrated care on healthcare utilization: Evidence from a natural experiment in the UK. Health Economics, 31(10), pp. 2142-2169. (doi: 10.1002/hec.4561) (PMID:35932257)

Tebaldi, D. and Stokes, J. (2022) Defining pooled’ place-based’ budgets for health and social care: a scoping review. International Journal of Integrated Care, 22(3), 16. (doi: 10.5334/ijic.6507)

Stokes, J. , Bower, P., Guthrie, B., Mercer, S. W., Rice, N., Ryan, A. M. and Sutton, M. (2022) Cuts to local government spending, multimorbidity and health-related quality of life: A longitudinal ecological study in England. Lancet Regional Health - Europe, 19, 100436. (doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100436) (PMID:36039277) (PMCID:PMC9417904)

Dambha-Miller, H. et al. (2022) Development and validation of population clusters for integrating health and social care: protocol for a mixed methods study in multiple long-term conditions (cluster-artificial intelligence for multiple long-term conditions). JMIR Research Protocols, 11(6), e34405. (doi: 10.2196/34405) (PMID:35708751) (PMCID:PMC9247810)

Stokes, J. (2022) Inequalities exacerbated: an all-too-familiar story. BMJ Quality and Safety, 31, pp. 561-564. (doi: 10.1136/bmjqs-2021-014422) (PMID:35042766)

Stokes, J. , Turner, A. J., Anselmi, L., Morciano, M. and Hone, T. (2022) The relative effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on wave one Covid-19 mortality: natural experiment in 130 countries. BMC Public Health, 22, 1113. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13546-6) (PMID:35659646) (PMCID:PMC9165709)

2021

Karimi, M., Tsiachristas, A., Looman, W., Stokes, J. , van Galen, M. and Rutten-van Mölken, M. (2021) Bundled payments for chronic diseases increased health care expenditure in the Netherlands, especially for multimorbid patients. Health Policy, 125(6), pp. 751-759. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2021.04.004) (PMID:33947604)

Hayes, H., Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S. R. and Sutton, M. (2021) The effect of payment method and multimorbidity on health and healthcare utilisation. Journal of Health Organization and Management, 35(3), pp. 382-405. (doi: 10.1108/JHOM-05-2020-0208)

Looman, W. et al. (2021) Drivers of successful implementation of integrated care for multi-morbidity: Mechanisms identified in 17 case studies from 8 European countries. Social Science and Medicine, 277, 113728. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113728) (PMID:33878666)

Stokes, J. , Shah, V., Goldzahl, L., Rud Kristensen, S. and Sutton, M. (2021) Does prevention-focused integration lead to the triple aim? An evaluation of two new care models in England. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 26(2), pp. 125-132. (doi: 10.1177/1355819620963500)

Shah, V., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2021) Inequalities in health-related quality of life: repeated cross-sectional study of trends in general practice survey data. British Journal of General Practice, 71(704), e178-e184. (doi: 10.3399/BJGP.2020.0616) (PMID:33619049) (PMCID:PMC7909931)

Hone, T., Stokes, J. , Trajman, A., Saraceni, V., Medina Coeli, C., Rasella, D., Durovni, B. and Millett, C. (2021) Racial and socioeconomic disparities in multimorbidity and associated healthcare utilisation and outcomes in Brazil: a cross-sectional analysis of three million individuals. BMC Public Health, 21, 1287. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-11328-0) (PMID:34210313) (PMCID:PMC8252284)

Morciano, M., Stokes, J. , Kontopantelis, E., hall, i. and Turner, A. J. (2021) Excess mortality for care home residents during the first 23 weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic in England: a national cohort study. BMC Medicine, 19, 71. (doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-01945-2) (PMID:33663498) (PMCID:PMC7932761)

Stokes, J. , Guthrie, B., Mercer, S., Rice, N. and Sutton, M. (2021) Multimorbidity combinations, costs of hospital care and potentially preventable emergency admissions in England: A cohort study. PLoS Medicine, 18(1), e1003514. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003514) (PMID:33439870) (PMCID:PMC7815339)

2020

Czypionka, T. et al. (2020) The patient at the centre: Evidence from 17 European integrated care programmes for persons with complex needs. BMC Health Services Research, 20(1), 1102. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-020-05917-9) (PMID:33256723) (PMCID:PMC7706259)

Rutten-van Mölken, M. et al. (2020) Comparing patients’ and other stakeholders’ preferences for outcomes of integrated care for multimorbidity: a discrete choice experiment in eight European countries. BMJ Open, 10(10), e03754. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037547) (PMID:33039997) (PMCID:PMC7552858)

Morciano, M., Checkland, K., Billings, J., Coleman, A., Stokes, J. , Tallack, C. and Sutton, M. (2020) New integrated care models in England associated with small reduction in hospital admissions in longer-term: a difference-in-differences analysis. Health Policy, 124(8), pp. 826-833. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2020.06.004) (PMID:32595094) (PMCID:PMC7386936)

Brunton, L., Stokes, J. , Gellatly, J., Bower, P., Sutton, M. and Wilson, P. (2020) Learning Lessons from Implementation of a National Diabetes Prevention Programme in England. Health Services Research (HSR) UK 2020, 1-3 July 2020.

2019

Stokes, J. , Gellatly, J., Bower, P., Meacock, R., Cotterill, S., Sutton, M. and Wilson, P. (2019) Implementing a national diabetes prevention programme in England: lessons learned. BMC Health Services Research, 19(1), 991. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-019-4809-3) (PMID:31870371) (PMCID:PMC6929377)

Shah, V., Stokes, J. and Sutton, M. (2019) Effects of non-medical health coaching on multimorbid patients in primary care: a difference-in-differences analysis. BMC Health Services Research, 19(1), 593. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-019-4367-8) (PMID:31438937) (PMCID:PMC6704561)

Stokes, J. , Lau, Y.-S., Rud Kristensen, S. and Sutton, M. (2019) Does pooling health and social care budgets reduce hospital use and lower costs? Social Science and Medicine, 232, pp. 382-388. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2019.05.038) (PMID:31146147)

2018

Stokes, J. , Struckmann, V., Rud Kristensen, S., Fuchs, S., van Ginneken, E., Tsiachristas, A., Rutten-van Mölken, M. and Sutton, M. (2018) Towards incentivising integration: A typology of payments for integrated care. Health Policy, 122(9), pp. 963-969. (doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.07.003) (PMID:30033204)

Rutten-van Mölken, M. et al. (2018) Strengthening the evidence-base of integrated care for people with multi-morbidity in Europe using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). BMC Health Services Research, 18(1), 576. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-018-3367-4) (PMID:30041653) (PMCID:PMC6057041)

Stokes, J. , Riste, L. and Cheraghi-Sohi, S. (2018) Targeting the ‘right’ patients for integrated care: stakeholder perspectives from a qualitative study. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 23(4), (doi: 10.1177/1355819618788100) (PMID:29984592)

2017

Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S.R., Checkland, K., Cheraghi-Sohi, S. and Bower, P. (2017) Does the impact of case management vary in different subgroups of multimorbidity? Secondary analysis of a quasi-experiment. BMC Health Services Research, 17(1), 521. (doi: 10.1186/s12913-017-2475-x) (PMID:28774296) (PMCID:PMC5543754)

2016

Atun, R., Gurol-Urganci, I., Hone, T., Pell, L., Stokes, J. , Habicht, T., Lukka, K., Raaper, E. and Habicht, J. (2016) Shifting chronic disease management from hospitals to primary care in Estonian health system: analysis of national panel data. Journal of Global Health, 6(2), 020701. (doi: 10.7189/jogh.06.020701) (PMID:27648258) (PMCID:PMC5017034)

Stokes, J. , Checkland, K. and Kristensen, S.R. (2016) Integrated care: theory to practice. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 21(4), pp. 282-285. (doi: 10.1177/1355819616660581) (PMID:27473860)

Whittaker, W. et al. (2016) Associations between extending access to primary care and emergency department visits: a difference-in-differences analysis. PLoS Medicine, 13(9), e1002113. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002113) (PMID:27598248) (PMCID:PMC5012704)

Stokes, J. , Kristensen, S.R., Checkland, K. and Bower, P. (2016) Effectiveness of multidisciplinary team case management: difference-indifferences analysis. BMJ Open, 6(4), e010468. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010468) (PMID:27084278) (PMCID:PMC4838740)

2015

Anselmi, L. et al. (2015) NHS Greater Manchester Primary Care Demonstrator Evaluation. Other. Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health and Care Research, Greater Manchester, United Kingdom.

2014

Stokes, J. (2014) CCG Implementation of Integrated Care in the NHS. Health Services Research: Evidence-based practice, London, UK, 1-3 July 2014. pp. 1-65. (doi: 10.1186/1472-6963-14-S2-P119)

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