Professor Juan Morales

  • Professor of Statistical Ecology (Ecology & Environmental Change)

email: Juan.Morales@glasgow.ac.uk

Graham Kerr Building, room 314, level 3, Glasgow, Glasgow City, Scotland, G12 8QQ

Import to contacts

ORCID iDhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7269-7490

Research interests

Quantitative ecology and ecological modelling. Species interactions, movement and dispersal, population dynamics, and disease ecology. 

Google scholar profile: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=i9J_tRYAAAAJ&hl=en

Research groups

Publications

List by: Type | Date

Jump to: 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018
Number of items: 29.

2023

Felici, F., Gurevitz, J. M., Mortarini, M. and Morales, J. M. (2023) Hierarchical forecasting models of stink bug population dynamics for pest management. Crop Protection, 172, 106330. (doi: 10.1016/j.cropro.2023.106330)

Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2023) Inferring the interaction rules of complex systems with graph neural networks and approximate Bayesian computation. Journal of the Royal Society: Interface, 20(198), 20220676. (doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0676) (PMID:36596456)

2022

Jarrett, C., Haydon, D. T. , Morales, J. M. , Ferreira, D. F., Forzi, F. A., Welch, A. J., Powell, L. L. and Matthiopoulos, J. (2022) Integration of mark–recapture and acoustic detections for unbiased population estimation in animal communities. Ecology, 103(10), e3769. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.3769) (PMID:35620844)

Morán‐López, T., Ruiz‐Suarez, S., Aldabe, J. and Morales, J. M. (2022) Improving inferences and predictions of species environmental responses with occupancy data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13(7), pp. 1540-1551. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13875)

2021

Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2021) Inferring microscale properties of interacting systems from macroscale observations. Physical Review Research, 3(4), 043074. (doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.3.043074)

Sasal, Y., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Host spatial structure and disperser activity determine mistletoe infection patterns. Oikos, 130(3), pp. 440-452. (doi: 10.1111/oik.07771)

Torney, C. J. , Morales, J. M. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. Movement Ecology, 9, 6. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-021-00242-0) (PMID:33602302)

Pizo, M.A., Morales, J. M. , Ovaskainen, O. and Carlo, T.A. (2021) Frugivory specialization in birds and fruit chemistry structure mutualistic networks across the neotropics. American Naturalist, (doi: 10.1086/712381) (PMID:33523785)

Bedriñana‑Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Johnson, D., Zerbini, A. N., Morales, J. , Mate, B. and Palacios, D. M. (2021) Defining priority areas for blue whale conservation and investigating overlap with vessel traffic in Chilean Patagonia, using a fast-fitting movement model. Scientific Reports, 11, 2709. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82220-5) (PMID:33526800) (PMCID:PMC7851173)

Falcón-Cortés, A., Boyer, D., Merrill, E., Frair, J. L. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Hierarchical, memory-based movement models for translocated elk (cervus canadensis). Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 702925. (doi: 10.3389/fevo.2021.702925)

Gurevitz, J. M., Antman, J. G., Laneri, K. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 15(6), e0009465. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465) (PMID:34115753) (PMCID:PMC8221794)

Morales, J. M. and López, T. M. (2021) Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by animals. Oikos, 2022(2), e08328. (doi: 10.1111/oik.08328)

2020

Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. M. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Modelling multiscale collective behavior with Gaussian processes. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 124. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.124)

Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Approximate Bayesian inference for individual-based models with emergent dynamics. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 125. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.125)

Ramos, D. L., Pizo, M. A., Ribeiro, M. C., Cruz, R. S., Morales, J. M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2020) Forest and connectivity loss drive changes in movement behavior of bird species. Ecography, 43(8), pp. 1203-1214. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.04888)

Ruiz-Suarez, S., Leos-Barajas, V., Alvarez-Castro, I. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Using approximate Bayesian inference for a "steps and turns" continuous-time random walk observed at regular time intervals. PeerJ, 8(2), e8452. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.8452) (PMID:32095333) (PMCID:PMC7020826)

Morán-López, W.D., Vizzachero, B.S., Fontanella, A., Salinas, L., Arana, C., Amico, G., Pizo, M.A., Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Can network metrics predict vulnerability and species roles in bird-dispersed plant communities? Not without behaviour. Ecology Letters, 23(2), pp. 348-358. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13439) (PMID:31814305)

Morán‐López, T., González‐Castro, A., Morales, J. M. and Nogales, M. (2020) Behavioural complementarity among frugivorous birds and lizards can promote plant diversity in island ecosystems. Functional Ecology, 34(1), pp. 182-193. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13476)

Williams, H. J. et al. (2020) Optimizing the use of biologgers for movement ecology research. Journal of Animal Ecology, 89(1), pp. 186-206. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13094) (PMID:31424571) (PMCID:PMC7041970)

2019

Fenoglio, M.S., Videla, M., Salvo, A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Dispersal of the pea leaf miner liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: Agromyzidae): A field experiment = Dispersión del minador de hojas liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: agromyzidae): un experimento a campo. Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, 51(2), pp. 343-352.

di Virgilio, A., Lambertucci, S. A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Sustainable grazing management in rangelands: over a century searching for a silver bullet. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 283, 106561. (doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2019.05.020)

Ovaskainen, O., Leal Ramos, D., Slade, E. M., Merckx, T., Tikhonov, G., Pennanen, J., Aurélio Pizo, M., Cezar Ribeiro, M. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Joint species movement modeling: how do traits influence movements? Ecology, 100(4), e02622. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.2622) (PMID:30644540) (PMCID:PMC6850360)

Hooten, M.B., Scharf, H.R. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Running on empty: recharge dynamics from animal movement data. Ecology Letters, 22(2), pp. 377-389. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13198) (PMID:30548152)

Gowda, J.H., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Fragmentation modulates the response of dichotomous landscapes to fire and seed dispersal. Ecological Modelling, 392, pp. 22-30. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.10.014)

Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Gowda, J.H., Mermoz, M. and Kitzberger, T. (2019) Non-additive effects of alternative stable states on landscape flammability in NW Patagonia: fire history and simulation modelling evidence. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 28(2), pp. 149-159. (doi: 10.1071/WF18073)

2018

Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A., Amico, G. and Morales, J. M. (2018) Diet complementation as a frequency-dependent mechanism conferring advantages to rare plants via dispersal. Functional Ecology, 32(10), pp. 2310-2320. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13152)

Bedriñana-Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Morales, J. , Williams, R., Ashe, E., Garcés-Vargas, J. and Torres-Florez, J. P. (2018) Integrating multiple data sources for assessing blue whale abundance and distribution in Chilean Northern Patagonia. Diversity and Distributions, 24(7), pp. 991-1004. (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12739)

Sáez, A., Morales, J. M. , Morales, C. L., Harder, L. D. and Aizen, M. A. (2018) The costs and benefits of pollinator dependence: empirically based simulations predict raspberry fruit quality. Ecological Applications, 28(5), pp. 1215-1222. (doi: 10.1002/eap.1720) (PMID:29575300)

Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. (2018) The role of frugivory in plant diversity maintenance – a simulation approach. Ecography, 41(1), pp. 24-31. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.03220)

This list was generated on Wed Nov 29 02:27:40 2023 GMT.
Jump to: Articles | Book Sections
Number of items: 29.

Articles

Felici, F., Gurevitz, J. M., Mortarini, M. and Morales, J. M. (2023) Hierarchical forecasting models of stink bug population dynamics for pest management. Crop Protection, 172, 106330. (doi: 10.1016/j.cropro.2023.106330)

Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2023) Inferring the interaction rules of complex systems with graph neural networks and approximate Bayesian computation. Journal of the Royal Society: Interface, 20(198), 20220676. (doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0676) (PMID:36596456)

Jarrett, C., Haydon, D. T. , Morales, J. M. , Ferreira, D. F., Forzi, F. A., Welch, A. J., Powell, L. L. and Matthiopoulos, J. (2022) Integration of mark–recapture and acoustic detections for unbiased population estimation in animal communities. Ecology, 103(10), e3769. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.3769) (PMID:35620844)

Morán‐López, T., Ruiz‐Suarez, S., Aldabe, J. and Morales, J. M. (2022) Improving inferences and predictions of species environmental responses with occupancy data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13(7), pp. 1540-1551. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13875)

Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2021) Inferring microscale properties of interacting systems from macroscale observations. Physical Review Research, 3(4), 043074. (doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.3.043074)

Sasal, Y., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Host spatial structure and disperser activity determine mistletoe infection patterns. Oikos, 130(3), pp. 440-452. (doi: 10.1111/oik.07771)

Torney, C. J. , Morales, J. M. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. Movement Ecology, 9, 6. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-021-00242-0) (PMID:33602302)

Pizo, M.A., Morales, J. M. , Ovaskainen, O. and Carlo, T.A. (2021) Frugivory specialization in birds and fruit chemistry structure mutualistic networks across the neotropics. American Naturalist, (doi: 10.1086/712381) (PMID:33523785)

Bedriñana‑Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Johnson, D., Zerbini, A. N., Morales, J. , Mate, B. and Palacios, D. M. (2021) Defining priority areas for blue whale conservation and investigating overlap with vessel traffic in Chilean Patagonia, using a fast-fitting movement model. Scientific Reports, 11, 2709. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82220-5) (PMID:33526800) (PMCID:PMC7851173)

Falcón-Cortés, A., Boyer, D., Merrill, E., Frair, J. L. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Hierarchical, memory-based movement models for translocated elk (cervus canadensis). Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 702925. (doi: 10.3389/fevo.2021.702925)

Gurevitz, J. M., Antman, J. G., Laneri, K. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 15(6), e0009465. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465) (PMID:34115753) (PMCID:PMC8221794)

Morales, J. M. and López, T. M. (2021) Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by animals. Oikos, 2022(2), e08328. (doi: 10.1111/oik.08328)

Ramos, D. L., Pizo, M. A., Ribeiro, M. C., Cruz, R. S., Morales, J. M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2020) Forest and connectivity loss drive changes in movement behavior of bird species. Ecography, 43(8), pp. 1203-1214. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.04888)

Ruiz-Suarez, S., Leos-Barajas, V., Alvarez-Castro, I. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Using approximate Bayesian inference for a "steps and turns" continuous-time random walk observed at regular time intervals. PeerJ, 8(2), e8452. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.8452) (PMID:32095333) (PMCID:PMC7020826)

Morán-López, W.D., Vizzachero, B.S., Fontanella, A., Salinas, L., Arana, C., Amico, G., Pizo, M.A., Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Can network metrics predict vulnerability and species roles in bird-dispersed plant communities? Not without behaviour. Ecology Letters, 23(2), pp. 348-358. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13439) (PMID:31814305)

Morán‐López, T., González‐Castro, A., Morales, J. M. and Nogales, M. (2020) Behavioural complementarity among frugivorous birds and lizards can promote plant diversity in island ecosystems. Functional Ecology, 34(1), pp. 182-193. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13476)

Williams, H. J. et al. (2020) Optimizing the use of biologgers for movement ecology research. Journal of Animal Ecology, 89(1), pp. 186-206. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13094) (PMID:31424571) (PMCID:PMC7041970)

Fenoglio, M.S., Videla, M., Salvo, A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Dispersal of the pea leaf miner liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: Agromyzidae): A field experiment = Dispersión del minador de hojas liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: agromyzidae): un experimento a campo. Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, 51(2), pp. 343-352.

di Virgilio, A., Lambertucci, S. A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Sustainable grazing management in rangelands: over a century searching for a silver bullet. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 283, 106561. (doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2019.05.020)

Ovaskainen, O., Leal Ramos, D., Slade, E. M., Merckx, T., Tikhonov, G., Pennanen, J., Aurélio Pizo, M., Cezar Ribeiro, M. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Joint species movement modeling: how do traits influence movements? Ecology, 100(4), e02622. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.2622) (PMID:30644540) (PMCID:PMC6850360)

Hooten, M.B., Scharf, H.R. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Running on empty: recharge dynamics from animal movement data. Ecology Letters, 22(2), pp. 377-389. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13198) (PMID:30548152)

Gowda, J.H., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Fragmentation modulates the response of dichotomous landscapes to fire and seed dispersal. Ecological Modelling, 392, pp. 22-30. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.10.014)

Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Gowda, J.H., Mermoz, M. and Kitzberger, T. (2019) Non-additive effects of alternative stable states on landscape flammability in NW Patagonia: fire history and simulation modelling evidence. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 28(2), pp. 149-159. (doi: 10.1071/WF18073)

Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A., Amico, G. and Morales, J. M. (2018) Diet complementation as a frequency-dependent mechanism conferring advantages to rare plants via dispersal. Functional Ecology, 32(10), pp. 2310-2320. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13152)

Bedriñana-Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Morales, J. , Williams, R., Ashe, E., Garcés-Vargas, J. and Torres-Florez, J. P. (2018) Integrating multiple data sources for assessing blue whale abundance and distribution in Chilean Northern Patagonia. Diversity and Distributions, 24(7), pp. 991-1004. (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12739)

Sáez, A., Morales, J. M. , Morales, C. L., Harder, L. D. and Aizen, M. A. (2018) The costs and benefits of pollinator dependence: empirically based simulations predict raspberry fruit quality. Ecological Applications, 28(5), pp. 1215-1222. (doi: 10.1002/eap.1720) (PMID:29575300)

Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. (2018) The role of frugivory in plant diversity maintenance – a simulation approach. Ecography, 41(1), pp. 24-31. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.03220)

Book Sections

Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. M. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Modelling multiscale collective behavior with Gaussian processes. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 124. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.124)

Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Approximate Bayesian inference for individual-based models with emergent dynamics. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 125. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.125)

This list was generated on Wed Nov 29 02:27:40 2023 GMT.

Grants

Grants and Awards listed are those received whilst working with the University of Glasgow.

  • Assessing the risk of insect vector-borne diseases in Scotland and their response to environmental change.
    UK Research and Innovation
    2023 - 2026
     

Supervision

Professional activities & recognition

Editorial boards

  • 2021 - 2023: Ecological Applications
  • 2014 - 2023: Proceedings of the Royal Society B
  • 2013 - 2023: Movement Ecology

Research datasets

Jump to: 2021 | 2020
Number of items: 2.

2021

Torney, C. , Morales, J. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. [Data Collection]

2020

Kabalika, Z., Morrison, T. , McGill, R. , Munishi, L. K., Ekwem, D., Mahene, W. L., Lobora, A. L., Newton, J. , Morales, J., Haydon, D. and Hopcraft, G. (2020) Tracking animal movements using biomarkers from tail hairs: A novel approach for animal geolocating from sulfur isoscapes. [Data Collection]

This list was generated on Wed Nov 29 02:27:42 2023 GMT.

Image of Juan Morales outdoors