Course structure

This in-person course is delivered in five blocks (hybrid mode for participants not able to travel to Glasgow). Each block includes a lecture discussing theories and methods and a practical seminar covering applications to real-life data and case studies.

Block 1: A brief history of financial crises: The search for monetary and financial stability

In this block we conduct a historical analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy responses to systemic and institutional crises, focusing on Britain.

Through the use of archival records, historical data and modern monetary/financial theory, we study key episodes of monetary and banking disturbances and the resulting evolution of financial regulation. By highlighting the recurring tension between monetary stability and financial stability, the analysis offers a reinterpretation of policy debates and institutional adaptations under crisis conditions.

The practical session covers a case study on how to improve Britain’s current monetary and regulatory framework, with recommendations grounded in both historical precedent and contemporary analysis. 

Block 2: Banking and systemic risk

In this section, we examine how the banking sector responds to monetary policy, prudential regulation, and international capital flows, with a focus on the buildup of systemic risk.

We cover key mechanisms linking bank behaviour to macro-financial stability, including how lending decisions, balance sheet adjustments, and risk exposures respond to policy and external shocks.

In the practical session, we introduce hands-on exercises using bank-level data sources such as balance sheets, credit registries, and syndicated loan records. Participants will apply econometric techniques to assess loan dynamics, the effects of regulatory measures, and the impact of climate-related risks on credit markets, including:

  • panel data models
  • instrumental variables (IVs)
  • Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD)
  • Local Projections (LPs).

 

Block 3: Equity markets and systemic risk

In this block, we investigate equity market structures and their roles in propagating systemic risk.

We evaluate how market volatility, financial interconnectedness, and contagion effects can trigger macro-financial instability.

The practical session introduces empirical methods and tools to estimate systemic stress indices, early-warning indicators, and various systemic risk measures, including:

  • conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR)
  • conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR)
  • multivariate multi-quantile (MVMQ-CAViaR), among others.

Simulations and illustrations are conducted using real-world data.

Block 4: Real estate markets and systemic risk

In this block, we study the economic fundamentals of real estate markets and the financial instruments employed to manage risk in real estate investment.

We critically discuss the channels through which real estate markets influence macro-financial stability, including liquidity and real estate secured debt.

In the practical section of this block, we learn advanced finance and econometric methods used by banks, governments and investors to perform real estate investment analysis. We access residential and commercial real estate transactional datasets to apply these methods to real world data.

Block 5: Policy responses to financial stability risks: Past, present and future

In this block, we discuss the effectiveness of policy responses to financial crises and explore future challenges to financial stability, including geopolitical risks, economic fragmentation, climate change, digital currencies, and deglobalisation.

The session features a roundtable discussion with leading experts from policy institutions, central banks, and academia, providing insights into policy design, crisis mitigation strategies, and the management of emerging systemic threats.

Participants will directly engage with panellists to discuss practical implications and evolving risks confronting the global financial system. 

Faculty

The course is designed and delivered by faculty at the University of Glasgow Adam Smith Business School. The course also features lectures and roundtable discussions with leading experts from policy institutions, central banks and academia.

University of Glasgow faculty

Guest speakers