Modeling anthrax-rabies interactions in the African savanna

Christopher Kribs (The University of Texas at Arlington, USA)

Wednesday 1st June, 2022 13:00-14:00 Room LT907 University of Strathclyde

Abstract

Ungulates like zebras suffer from outbreaks of anthrax, disrupting the food supply of scavengers like jackals.  Rabies outbreaks among jackals depends on zebra carcass density in a complex way, as they spread rabies only when feeding.  Following work by Borchering et al. in modeling the jackals' contact rate using data from Etosha National Park in Namibia, we develop and analyse a dynamical systems model to show how the transmission dynamics of each disease affect those of the other, revealing the potential for sustained oscillations in addition to traditional threshold behavior.

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